any significant amount of additional fish production globally will come from aquaculture. Approximately half of the projected increase in aquaculture produc- tion, and thereby total fish production, is projected to take place in China alone, while all of Asia com- bined will comprise almost 90 percent of the growth in global fish production. In regions that Table 1 indicates will contribute more than 100 percent to future production increase, aquaculture is more than offseting actual decreases in capture production. At any rate, in any region with significant projected increases in production, the contribution of aquacul- ture is generally close to 100 percent. Tis snapshot shows the strong role that emerg-
ing regions in both Asia and Latin America play in contributing to global fish supply. A few key countries, like China, are at the epicenter of this growth. Yet other regions, like Southeast and South Asia, also have a major role to play. One of the key factors of China’s success in maintaining a highly
productive aquaculture sector is that it has main- tained a national extension system for aquaculture that has continued widespread outreach to produc- ers through well-trained and qualified staff. In the wider Asia region, there is also a strong network of training programs that support the development of the aquaculture sector. Tese include the Network of Aquaculture Centers in the Asia-Pacific (NACA), the Southeast Asian Fisheries Development Cen- ter (SEAFDEC), the Asian Institute of Technology (AIT), as well as such CGIAR institutions as the WorldFish Center.12 Te numerous fish training centers and service centers oriented toward shrimp producers have boosted the productivity of that sector in Bangladesh. In Indonesia, the creation of a separate Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries (MAF) in 2000 was a key step in developing a strong sectoral development strategy. Te strategy included the creation of development zones for aquaculture, where the intensification of production could be
FIGURE 1 Projected aquaculture production in India by major species groups (‘000 tons) 6,912
2008 2030 2,734
172 264 SHRIMP
15 40 MOLLUSKS
240 381 13 10
PANGASIUS & OTHER CATFISH
CARP
OTHER FRESH- WATER &
DIADROMOUS
Source: S. Msangi, M. Kobayashi, M. Batka, S. Vannuccini, M. M. Dey, and J. L. Anderson, Fish to 2030: Prospects for Fisheries and Aquaculture, World Bank Report No. 83177-GLB (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2013).
64 THEROLEOF FISHINGLOBALFOOD SECURITY
281 447 OTHER CARP
534 67
OTHER MARINE
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