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EMISSIONS GAP REPORT 2018 – REFERENCES


Gillett, N.P., Arora, V.K., Matthews, D. and Allen, M. (2013) ‘Constraining the ratio of global warming to cumulative CO2 emissions using CMIP5 simulations’. Journal of Climate, 26:6844–6858.


Grubler, A., Wilson, C., Bento, N. et al. (2018) ‘A low energy demand scenario for meeting the 1.5 °C target and sustainable development goals without negative emission technologies’. Nature Energy, 3:515–527.


Holz, C., Siegel, L.S., Johnston, E., Jones, A.P. and Sterman, J. (2018) ‘Ratcheting ambition to limit warming to 1.5 °C – trade-offs between emission reductions and carbon dioxide removal’. Environmental Research Letters, 13:064028.


Huppmann, D., Rogelj, J., Kriegler, E., Krey, V. and Riahi, K. (2018a) ‘A new scenario resource for integrated 1.5°C research’. Nature Climate Change. Available at: http://doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0317-4


Huppmann, D., Kriegler, E., Krey, V. et al. (2018b) IAMC 1.5°C Scenario Explorer and Data hosted by IIASA. Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Available at: https://data.ene. iiasa.ac.at/iamc-1.5c-explorer


IEA (2017) World Energy Outlook 2017. Paris: IEA.


IPCC (2014) Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Geneva:IPCC.


IPCC (2018). Global Warming of 1.5°C an IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre- industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty. Summary for Policy Makers. Available at: http://www.ipcc.ch/report/sr15/ [accessed on 5 November, 2018].


Jakob, M. and Steckel, J.C. (2016) ‘Implications of climate change mitigation for sustainable development’. Environmental Research Letters, 11:104010.


Jeffery, M.L., Gütschow, J., Rocha, M.R. and Gieseke, R. (2018) ‘Measuring Success: Improving Assessments of Aggregate Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction Goals’. Earth’s Future, 6(9):1260–1274.


Johnson, N., Krey, V., McCollum, D.L., Rao, S. Riahi, K. and Rogelj, J. (2015) ‘Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants’. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90(Part A):89–102.


Kitous, A., Keramidas, K., Vandyck, T. et al. (2017) Global Energy and Climate Outlook 2017: How climate policies improve air quality – Global energy trends and ancillary benefits of the Paris Agreement. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union. Available at: http:// doi:10.2760/474356


Knutti, R. and Rogelj, J. (2015) ‘The legacy of our CO2 emissions: a clash of scientific facts, politics and ethics’. Climatic Change, 133(3):361– 373.


Kriegler, E., Bertram, C., Kuramochi, T. et al. (2018) ‘Short term policies to keep the door open for Paris climate goals’. Environmental Research Letters, 13:074022. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aac4f1


Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Bauer, N. et al. (2015) ‘Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy’. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90(Part A):24–44.


Kuramochi, T., Fekete, H., Hans, F. et al. (2017) Greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios for major emitting countries: Analysis of current climate policies and mitigation commitments 2017 update. Supporting Information. NewClimate Institute. Available at: https://newclimate.org/2017/11/01/greenhouse-gas-mitigation-scenarios-for-major-emitting- countries-2017/


Lowe, J.A. and Bernie, D. (2018) ‘The impact of Earth system feedbacks on carbon budgets and climate response’. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 376(2119).


Luderer, G., Bertram, C., Calvin, K., De Cian, E. and Kriegler, E. (2016) ‘Implications of weak near-term climate policies on long-term mitigation pathways’. Climatic Change, 136(1):127–140.


Luderer, G., Vrontisi, Z., Bertram, C. et al. (2018) ‘Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2°C pathways’. Nature Climate Change, 8:626–633.


Markandya, A., Sampedro, J., Smith, S.J. et al. (2018) ‘Health co-benefits from air pollution and mitigation costs of the Paris Agreement: a modelling study’. The Lancet Planetary Health, 2(3):e126–e133.


Matthews, H.D., Gillett, N.P., Stott, P.A. and Zickfield, K. (2009) ‘The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions’. Nature, 459:829–832.


Matthews, H.D., Solomon, S., Pierrehumbert, R. (2012) ‘Cumulative carbon as a policy framework for achieving climate stabilization’. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 370(1974):4365–4379.


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