9
Table 2.1: Overview of the status and progress of G20 members, including on Cancun pledges and NDC targets. Country
Share of global GHG emissions in 2017a
Argentina 0.8%
On track to meet the targets with current policies?
Cancun pledges
No pledge
Unconditional NDC
No
Unconditional NDC: per capitab
GHG emissions 2030c tCO2 9.8 e/cap in
versus 2015 levels
-6% Peaking yeard
Average annual growth after peakinge
No
commitment to peak
Australia Brazil
1.2% 2.3%
Yes Yes
No Yes
15.4 5.3
-29% -22%
2006 2004
-1.6%/year
(2006–2016) -12.0%/year (2004–2012) (+2.4%/year excluding LULUCF)
Canada China EU28 India Indonesia
Japan Mexico
Republic of Korea
Russian Federation
Saudi Arabia South Africa Turkey
United States of America
1.6% 26.8% 9.0% 7.0% 1.7%
3.0% 1.5% 1.6%
4.6% No Yes Yes Yes Uncertain Yes
Uncertain No
Yes No Yes No Yes* Uncertain Yes
Uncertain No
Yes* 12.9 10.0 6.1 3.5 6.9
8.6 5.1
10.1 18.9 -33% +17% -23% +67% +15%
-13% -2%
-21% +33% 2007
By 2030 (CO2 only)
-0.6%/year (2007–2016)
---
1990 or earlier -1.1%/year (1990–2016)
No
commitment to peak
No
commitment to peak
By 2020 By 2030 By 2020
1990 or earlier (former Soviet republic)
1.5% 1.1% 1.2% 13.1% No pledge Uncertain No pledge Uncertain No No Yes* No 23.1 9.5 10.5 14.0 (2025) +19% 0% +102% -25% (2025) No
commitment to peak
No
commitment to peak
No
commitment to peak
2007
-1.5%/year (2007–2016)
Notes: a Olivier et al. (2018), excluding LULUCF. b Population projections are based on the medium fertility variant of the United Nations World Population Prospects 2017 edition (UN DESA, 2017). c The G20 average in 2015 was 7.5 tCO2
d Given the unconditional pledges. Expected peak years are based only on commitments that countries have made and assume the achievement of such commitments.
missing). Using EDGAR estimates only, the G20 average in 2015 was 8.0 tCO2
e Authors’ calculations based on UNFCCC (2018) data (including LULUCF). For Australia and Canada, the peak years based on 2018 GHG inventories were 2007 and 2004 respectively, which differs from those assessed by Levin and Rich (2017), since they used older inventory data. Peak years reported by Levin and Rich (2017) are used here for the calculations. The average emission growth rates were -1.8 percent/year for Australia with 2007 as the peak year and -0.5 percent/year for Canada with 2004 as the peak year.
* Denotes that the current policy trajectory is more than 10 percent below the NDC target. --- ---
--- --- ---
-2.5%/year (1990–2016) +0.5%/year (2000–2016)
--- --- --- ---
Emission peaking
e/cap (based on national GHG inventories and using the EDGAR GHG trend if emissions for the latest years were e/cap (Olivier et al., 2017).
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