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2014 analysis


At long last there were signs of a modest upturn when we collated all of the 2014 data. As with the economic upturn as a whole, not everyone was benefiting, with those in the ascendancy being relatively few. Nevertheless, there will have been a collective sigh of relief that 2013 seemed to have been the low point. In the three main categories (universal banking, treasury and capital markets, and private banking), there are now between one and three clear market leaders, picking up the bulk of the deals. It will not be a great surprise to industry watchers that nearly all of these are focused companies with one flagship core product. The many other systems that have been brought under single roofs by market consolidation are mostly falling away. Another trend appeared to be something of a renaissance


for some of the smaller, local and regional suppliers, again typically without the complication of multiple systems. They appeared to be gaining in 2014 from the more piecemeal approach to core system renewal by some of the large, international banks. Many such banks have given up on their grand plans of past years whereby they were going to standardise all international operations on a single core. In part through painful experience, they are increasingly opting instead for a more pragmatic approach of picking the best system for the local market and, sometimes, giving autonomy back to the country operation for selecting this. The one area where this isn’t the case is private banking, where the opposite is true, with moves by a number of tier one and two banks to rationalise systems across the globe. While the quantity of deals went up slightly, the size of deals did not. There were very few high-end domestic or multi-site decisions in 2014, once more. At least it could be said that a number of the top end banks appeared to have restarted analysis of core systems. As a few, such as CBA in Australia, have emerged from their multi-year projects, with others on-going after a number of years, it seemed a next wave might be on the way. We would expect SAP to feature in some of the analyses, so too perhaps Oracle with OBP. In the meantime, the vast bulk of the universal core


banking systems market remained the third and fourth tier banks in emerging markets. The two runaway leaders in 2014, as usual, were Temenos with T24 and Oracle FSS with Flexcube. They both brought in good hauls of lower end deals. Temenos showed its resilience again in terms of the number of deals for T24. Its 37 in 2014 was a slight increase on the 35 of 2013. Its only deals in Western Europe were three low-end ones in the UK, including 6 Towns Credit Union and Reall (previously Homeless International), a microfinance institution focused on the homeless. There was also a small private banking deal in Luxembourg. There was nothing in Central or Eastern Europe. Starting to build on its heightened presence in the US, it gained two small clients, plus Bermuda Commercial Bank. In a traditional


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market of strength, Canada, it added FirstOntario Credit Union and a small domestic bank. More productive for Temenos was Asia/Asia Pacific, with


four wins in Vietnam, two in the Philippines, and one each in India, Indonesia, Myanmar and Taiwan, plus one deal


spanning China, Hong Kong and Cambodia. The Middle East was fairly healthy too, with six deals in six countries, so too Africa, with seven deals in seven countries, of which three were in North Africa. In Latin America, there were only solitary deals in Bolivia and Venezuela. Oracle FSS with Flexcube saw 27 new-name wins, a good haul and well up on 2013’s 15. It was a fairly similar pattern, geography-wise, to Temenos, except without any North American side to it. Oracle FSS’s strongest territory was Asia/Asia Pacific, with three deals in the Philippines (so a busy year in this country), two in Myanmar, one each in Laos, China, Pakistan, Cambodia and Afghanistan, plus a three-site deal for Pakistan, Afghanistan and Tajikistan. There was also a single deal in New Zealand. It was a like-for-like tally for Oracle FSS in Africa – six


deals, six countries, although only one of these was in North Africa. It was sparse pickings in Western Europe – Hampden & Co in the UK and a deal in Denmark, plus one each in Cyprus and Malta – and Central Europe – a solitary win in Belarus. The Middle East only produced single deals in Lebanon and the UAE, while the sole Central and South American win was in a former Temenos stronghold, Mexico (Banco Actinver). The nine Finacle deals for Infosys were fairly small,


compared with past wins for the Indian heavyweight. It had one in the Philippines, Producers’ Savings Bank, and the rest were spread around low-end banks in Africa and Asia, bar the international operation of an Indian bank in the UK. The Finacle business had posted a 5.4 per cent decline in quarter-on-quarter revenue for Q2 FY2015 in October 2014 and, at present at least, the larger-end deals of previous years are eluding it. Those nine deals in 2014 were the same in terms of quantity as 2013. Here, as with the other Indian domestic suppliers, we did not count deals to small domestic Indian banks and co-ops once more. One supplier that had a poor year was Path Solutions.


It brought in a mere four new wins, in UAE, Saudi Arabia, Gambia and Sudan. This was six fewer than in 2013. We again asked all suppliers to flag any Islamic banking deals amidst their conventional banking wins and, overall, it looked a depressed year in this sector. It has often been driven by spikes of activity in individual countries, as a result of regulatory changes, but there did not seem to be any of these last year. Some of the emerging countries that might have been expected to produce selections were quieter because of economic and/or political unrest.


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