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in sight. Te impending arrival of several political leaders on Friday, the official closing day, meant that negotiators needed to engage in extremely high-level talks to develop some kind of agreement. Aſter several sleepless nights, the negotiators took note of a document called the Copenhagen Accord, emanating from several high-level meetings. Tis accord enshrined the goal of keeping the average temperature rise to 2°C and pledged US$10 billion a year from developed countries over the next three years, rising to US$100 billion a year by 2020, to help poor countries adapt to climate change. None of these commitments, however, were binding, and it is unclear that any have been or will be met. Although the Copenhagen negotiations were


unsuccessful overall, they marked the start of a push to formally include agriculture in the negotia- tion outcomes, with the first Agriculture and Rural Development Day providing a convening venue for those concerned about the challenges to agri- culture from climate change. Butons bearing the slogan “No agriculture, no deal!” made their first appearance and have become an increasingly com- mon sight at United Nations negotiations. At the following year’s convention, delegates


arrived in Cancun in late November 2010 with greatly lowered expectations and no plans for the atendance of large numbers of heads of state. With low expectations as a starting point, the eventual outcomes were substantial. Negotia- tors approved a large number of documents, col- lectively called the Cancun Accord. Important elements included the reaffirmation of the 2°C temperature increase target, improved reporting requirements, and the start of a process to design a Green Climate Fund. Te second Agriculture and Rural Development Day was held, with dele- gates pushing negotiators to formally include agri- culture in any outcomes and calling for approval of an official work program on agriculture. Unfor- tunately, the work program was lost in the final days of the negotiations when it got caught up in disagreements about whether individual sectors should be singled out and a perception by some negotiators that a work program would focus only on mitigation and ignore adaptation.


Te 2011 Durban round of negotiations was


widely perceived as particularly important for Africa, because a successful outcome would reflect well on the continent and because Africa is likely to be seriously affected by climate change2 and so would have much to gain from a successful out- come. One of the key challenges was the pend- ing expiration of the Kyoto Protocol in 2012. Te protocol set binding targets for emissions for most developed countries (the United States was not a signatory and therefore not a party to the emissions reduction commitments). Without an extension of the protocol, countries would no longer be legally bound to reduce their emissions.


Although the Copenhagen negotiations were unsuccessful overall, they marked the start of a push to formally include agriculture in the negotiation outcomes. With African agriculture especially threatened


by climate change, a major push was made to per- suade the negotiators to include an official work program on agriculture. Te activities of the third Agriculture and Rural Development Day were organized around this goal, and major public fig- ures, including former UN secretary general Kofi Annan and Jacob Zuma, president of South Africa, pressed the negotiators to approve the work pro- gram on agriculture. By the last Friday of the negotiations, it was


unclear whether anything would be achieved. But negotiators agreed to continue their work and extended their string of sleepless nights, ultimately finishing Sunday morning. Te outcome of this effort is called the Durban Platform for Enhanced Action. A key element of the platform is that all Kyoto signatories plus the United States agreed to forge a treaty by 2015 that would bring all coun- tries, developed and developing, under a legally binding agreement by 2020. For the first time, China and India, two of the world’s largest emit- ters of greenhouse gases, agreed to this principle.


CLIMATE CHANGE AND AGRICULTURE 41


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