10 P. Timmer, “Reflections on Food Crises Past,” Food Policy 35, no. 1
(2010): 1–11. 11
B. Wright, Speculators, Storage, and the Price of Rice (Giannini
Foundation of Agricultural Economics, University of California, Berkeley, 2008); Wright, International Grain Reserves and Other Instruments to Address Volatility; A. Evans, The Feeding of the Nine Billion: Global Food Security for the 21st Century (London: Chatham House, 2009). 12
Nonlinear Models of Commodity Price Dynamics.” 13
A. Sarris, Hedging Cereal Import Price Risks and Institutions to
Assure Import Supplies, FAO Working Paper (Rome: Food and Agricul- ture Organization of the United Nations, 2009). 14
Wright, International Grain Reserves and Other Instruments to
Address Volatility; J. Lin, “Prepared Remarks Presented at the Round- table on ‘Preparing for the Next Global Food Price Crisis,’” Center for Global Development, Washington, DC, October 17, 2008. 15
J. von Braun and M. Torero, Physical and Virtual Global Food
Reserves to Protect the Poor and Prevent Market Failure, Policy Brief 4 (Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Insti- tute, 2008). 16
2 A. Sen, Poverty and Famines: An Essay on Entitlement and Depriva-
tion (Oxford, UK: Clarendon Press, 1981). 3
S. Devereux, “Introduction: From ‘Famines’ to ‘New Famines,’ in The
New Famines: Why Famines Persist in an Era of Globalization, ed. S. Devereux (London: Routledge, 2007). 4
See, for example, J. G. McPeak, P. D. Little, and C. R. Doss, Risk and Martins-Filho, Torero, and Yao, “Estimation of Quantiles Based on
Social Change in an African Rural Economy: Livelihoods in Pastoralist Communities (New York: Routledge, 2011); F. Flintan, Broken Lands: Broken Lives? Causes, Processes, and Impacts of Land Fragmentation in the Rangelands of Ethiopia, Kenya, and Uganda (Nairobi: REGLAP [Regional Learning and Advocacy Programme], 2011); and Devereux, Vulnerable Livelihoods in Somali Region, Ethiopia. 5
J. F. Maystadt, A. Mabiso, and O. Ecker, “Climate Change and Civil
War in Somalia: Does Drought Fuel Conflict through Livestock Price Shocks?” paper presented at the US Agency for International Devel- opment/International Food Policy Research Institute Workshop on Enhancing Resilience in the Horn of Africa, Washington, DC, Decem- ber 13–14, 2011. 6
T. J. Lybbert, C. B. Barrett, S. Desta, and D. L. Coppock, “Stochas- Lin, “Prepared Remarks Presented at the Roundtable”; J. von Braun,
J. Lin, and M. Torero, “Eliminating Drastic Food Price Spikes: A Three- Pronged Approach for Reserves,” note for discussion (International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC, 2009); and for rice: Timmer, “Reflections on Food Crises Past.” 17
von Braun and Torero, Physical and Virtual Global Food Reserves; J.
von Braun and M. Torero, Implementing the Physical and Virtual Food Reserves to Protect the Poor and Prevent Market Failure, IFPRI Policy Brief 10 (Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Insti- tute, 2009); J. von Braun and M. Torero, “Exploring the Price Spike,” Choices 24, no. 1 (2009),
www.choicesmagazine.org/magazine/article. php?article=58, accessed March 16, 2012.
Box 1 1 K. Anderson and S. Nelgen, “Agricultural Trade Distortions during
the Global Financial Crisis,” Oxford Review of Economic Policy 28, no. 1 (2012). 2
W. Martin and K. Anderson, “Export Restrictions and Price Insula-
tion during Commodity Price Booms,” American Journal of Agricul- tural Economics 94, no. 2 (2012): 422–27.
CHAPTER 3 Text
1 S. Devereux, Vulnerable Livelihoods in Somali Region, Ethiopia,
Research Report No. 57 (Sussex, UK: Institute for Development Stud- ies, 2006); C. Funk, A Climate Trend Analysis of Kenya: August 2010, US Geological Survey Fact Sheet 2010-3074 (Washington, DC: US Geo- logical Survey, 2010); A. P. Williams and C. Funk, “A Westward Exten- sion of the Warm Pool Leads to a Westward Extension of the Walker Circulation, Drying Eastern Africa,” Climate Dynamics 37, nos. 11–12 (2011): 2417–2435.
106
tic Wealth Dynamics and Risk Management among a Poor Popu- lation,” Economic Journal 114, no. 498 (2004): 750–777; McPeak, Little, and Doss, Risk and Social Change in an African Rural Economy; Flintan, Broken Lands; Devereux, Vulnerable Livelihoods in Somali Region, Ethiopia. 7
I. Livingstone, “The Common Property Problem and Pastoralist Eco-
nomic Behavior,” Journal of Development Studies 23, no. 1 (1986): 5–19. 8
among a Poor Population.” 9
P. D. Little, R. Behnke, J. McPeak, and G. Gebru, Retrospective
Assessment of Pastoral Policies in Ethiopia, 1991–2008, Report Num- ber 1, Pastoral Economic Growth and Development Policy Assess- ment, study commissioned by the UK Department for International Development (London, 2010). 10
among a Poor Population.” 11
Flintan, Broken Lands. 12 Little et al., “Retrospective Assessment of Pastoral Policies in Ethio-
pia, 1991–2008”; Flintan, Broken Lands; McPeak, Little, and Doss, Risk and Social Change in an African Rural Economy. 13
Devereux, Vulnerable Livelihoods in Somali Region, Ethiopia. 14 For a review, see D. Headey, A. S. Taffesse, and L. You, Enhanc-
ing Resilience in the Horn of Africa: An Exploration into Alternative Investment Options, IFPRI Discussion Paper 1176 (Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute, 2012). 15
Devereux, Vulnerable Livelihoods in Somali Region, Ethiopia. 16 Headey, Taffesse, and You, Enhancing Resilience in the Horn
of Africa. 17
P. D. Little, Somalia: Economy without State (Bloomington, IN, USA: Indiana University Press, 2003).
Lybbert et al., “Stochastic Wealth Dynamics and Risk Management
Lybbert et al., “Stochastic Wealth Dynamics and Risk Management
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