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Chapter 2: State and Trends


(internal) variability (Barkhordarian et al. 2012a). During the warm seasons (March-April-May, June-July-August) an increase in near-surface temperature is shown over northern Algeria and Morocco that is very unlikely to be due to natural variability or natural forces (Barkhordarian et al. 2012b). The region has also experienced positive trends in annual minimum and maximum temperature (Vizy and Cook 2012).


Over West Africa and the Sahel, near-surface temperatures have increased over the past 50 years. The number of cold days and cold nights have decreased and the number of warm days and warm nights have increased between 1961 and 2000. Collins (2011) noted there was significant warming of between 0.5°C and 0.8°C between 1970 and 2010 over the region.


Most of southern Africa has experienced upward trends in annual mean, maximum, and minimum temperatures over large extents of the sub-region during the second half of the 20th century, with the most significant warming occurring during the period 1990-2010 (Kruger and Sekele 2012; Collins 2011; Zhou et al. 2010). Minimum temperatures have increased more rapidly than maximum temperatures over inland southern Africa (New et al. 2006).


The equatorial and southern parts of eastern Africa have experienced a significant increase in temperature since the early 1980s (Anyah and Qiu 2012). Similarly, recent reports indicate that there has been an increase in seasonal mean temperatures in many areas of Ethiopia, Kenya, South Sudan, and Uganda over the past 50 years (Funk et al. 2012). In addition, warming of the near surface temperature and an increase in the frequency of extreme warm events has been observed for countries bordering the western Indian Ocean between 1961 and 2008 (Vincent et al. 2011).


2.1.6 Achieving Global Environmental Goals for Air


Africa’s air quality efforts continue to be focused around reducing air pollution in the face of expected increases in air pollution levels due to increased urbanization, motorization, industrial activity and dust storms (UNEP 2013). Selected


Global Environmental Goals (GEGs) aimed at reducing air pollution and improving air quality include:


• • • •


reducing greenhouse gas emissions and associated climate change (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), 1994); controlling and eventually


reducing respiratory diseases and other health impacts by phasing out of lead in gasoline (Johannesburg Plan of Implementation, 2002);


reducing the dependence on solid fuels for cooking and heating by providing affordable energy (Johannesburg Plan of Implementation, 2002);


• developing and applying pollution control and measurement activities and monitoring transboundary air pollution (Agenda 21, 1992);


• cooperating at international, regional and national levels to reduce air pollution (Johannesburg Plan of Implementation, 2002); and


• prohibiting and eventually eliminating the production, use,


import and export of intentionally and


unintentionally produced persistent organic pollutants (POPs) (Stockholm Convention on Persistent Organic Pollutants (POPs), 2004) (More...4).


While Africa does not make a significant contribution to global warming, the continent is the most severely affected by the impacts of climate change as most African economies rely heavily on climate sensitive economic sectors that are exposed to climate variability, droughts and floods (AMCEN 2015). In response to this challenge, the African Union established a Committee of the African Heads of State and Government on Climate Change with the aim to ensure that Africa adapts and participates effectively in global efforts to mitigate climate change without compromising the continent’s development agenda.


A High Level Framework Work Programme on Climate Change in Africa has been adopted as a guide to the AU, Member States and Regional Economic Communities in


33


eliminating total global


emissions of substances that deplete the ozone layer (Montreal Protocol, 1989 with 8 subsequent revisions);

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