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www.us-tech.com
February, 2013
$6.1 Billion Electrical Storage for Smart Grids
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Glen Allen, VA — The grid-storage market will reach $6.1 billion (USD) by 2018 making energy storage one of the fastest growing opportunities in the smart grid industry, according to Industry analyst firm NanoMar- kets’ newly published report titled, “Batteries and Supercapacitors for the Smart Grid-2013.” The report provides analysis of
worldwide grid-storage markets products including lead-acid, lead- carbon, lithium-ion, sodium-sulfur, sodium-nickel-chloride, and flow bat- teries, along with ultrabatteries and supercapacitors. Retail, wholesale and microgrid opportunities are cov- ered, along with how frequency regu- lation, regenerative energy capture and renewable power integration, will impact demand for grid storage. Eight-year revenue and volume pro- jections are included with breakouts by application, storage technology, and geographical region. Companies discussed include:
Advanced Battery, Altair, Ambri, Aquion, Axion, Boston Power, C&D, Cellennium, Cellstrom, China BAK, China Ritar Power, Cobasys, Deeya Energy, Ecoult, Energ2, Enersys, Ex- ide, Fiamm Sonik, Firefly, Sonik, GE, GeoBattery, Hitachi, Johnson Controls, Kyushu Electric, Maxwell, Mitsubishi, NEC, Nesscap, Nexeon, Navitas, NGK, Panasonic/Sanyo, Premium Power, Prudent Energy, REDT, Revolt, SAFT, Siemens, Sum- itomo, TEPCO, Ultralife, V-Fuel, Wanxiang and ZBB.
Default Option According to the report, the de-
fault option for grid batteries today is lead-acid, accounting for more than 55 percent of current revenues for grid batteries. By 2018, this share will decline to around 30 percent as new grid battery technologies be- come commercialized. The lead-acid battery will itself get an upgrade — carbon electrodes, promising a 4x performance improvement. In addi-
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tion, the ultrabattery, with combina- tion lead/carbon electrodes will com- pete for grid-storage markets. In 2018, lead-carbon batteries/ultrabat- teries will generate around $300 mil- lion in revenues. Grid storage for remote loca-
tions, microgrids and cell phone tow- ers are already economically viable. This is driving demand for lead-acid and Zebra (sodium-nickel-chloride) batteries. Another wave of storage deployment is about to occur on the customer side of the meter for power- quality, peak-shaving and grid-sta- bility applications creating demand for flow and lithium-ion batteries. During this second wave the penetra- tion of renewables will rise above 20 percent, making grid storage neces- sary to stabilize the grid because of intermittent generation. A final wave of grid storage is expected for retail peak shifting applications. Although lithium-ion batteries
are receiving considerable attention, they suffer from being immature technology and high cost; in fact their current growth relies on gov- ernment subsidies. When lithium-ion subsidies disappear, sodium-sulfur and Zebra batteries will be a better deal for power companies and large end users. The best hope for lithium batteries is when a supplier who is committed to lithium sells it as part of a comprehensive solution such as for smart buildings. Revenues from lithium batteries are expected to reach $775 million by 2018. Supercapacitors will become in-
tegral to grid storage, as costs go down and capacities increase. By 2018, supercaps will generate $1.1 billion in revenues from grid-storage, especially regenerative braking on grid-attached light rail and frequen- cy regulation. Here supercaps can re- sult in a 30 percent reduction in elec- trical costs. The long lifetimes and near-zero maintenance for superca-
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