342 E. Mizsei et al.
Acknowledgements Financial support was provided by the Mohamed bin Zayed Species Conservation Fund (no. 150510498), Rufford Small Grant (no. 15478-1), Chicago Zoological Society’s Chicago Board of Trade Endangered Species Fund, Campus Hungary (no. B2/1CS/19196/9), ERASMUS+, the Visegrad Scholar- ship and two grants from the National Research, Development and Innovation Office of Hungary (NKFIH-OTKA K106133, GINOP 2.3.3-15-2016-00019). Permits for fieldwork were provided by the Ministry for Environment and Energy of Greece (number 158977/ 1757) and the Ministry of Environment of Albania (number 6584).
Author contributions Study design: EM, MS, SL; collection and processing of spatial data: EM, LS, ZB, KM; collection of field data: EM, MS, SAR, MD, ZB, SL, YI; data analysis: EM, ZV; writing: EM, MS, SAR; contribution to writing: all authors.
Conflicts of interest None.
Ethical standards This research abided by the Oryx guidelines on ethical standards. Individual snakes were not collected or harmed in any way in the course of this study.
Data accessibility The R script of conservation value layers and the produced ASCII files are available as supplementary material. Occur- rence data are not provided, to protect the species, but are available for bona fide researchers upon request from the corresponding author.
References
ADAM-HOSKING, C., MCALPINE, C.A., RHODES, J.R., MOSS,P.T. & GRANTHAM, H.S. (2015) Prioritizing regions to conserve a specialist folivore: considering probability of occurrence, food resources, and climate change. Conservation Letters, 8, 162–170.
ADELE, A.A., STEVENS,C.& BRIDGEWATER,P.(2015) Global conservation and management of biodiversity in developing countries: an opportunity for a new approach. Environmental Science and Policy, 45, 104–108.
ALLOUCHE, O., TSOAR,A.&KADMON,R.(2006) Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models: prevalence, kappa and the true skill statistic (TSS). Journal of Applied Ecology, 43, 1223–1232.
BADDELEY, A., RUBAK,E. & TURNER,R. (2015) Spatial Point Patterns: Methodology and Applications with R. Chapman and Hall/CRC Press, London, UK.
BLANCO, L.J., AGUILERA, M.O., PARUELO, J.M. & BIURRUN, F.N. (2008) Grazing effect on NDVI across an aridity gradient in Argentina. Journal of Arid Environments, 72, 764–776.
BÖHM, M., COLLEN, B., BAILLIE, J.E.M., BOWLES, P., CHANSON, J., COX, N. et al. (2013) The conservation status of the world’s reptiles. Biological Conservation, 157, 372–385.
BUTCHART, S.H.M.,WALPOLE, M., COLLEN, B., VAN STRIEN, A., SCHARLEMANN, J.P.W., ALMOND, R.E.A. et al. (2010) Global biodiversity: indicators of recent declines. Science, 328, 1164–1168.
CARTER, T.R. (2007) General Guidelines on the Use of Scenario Data for Climate Impact and Adaptation Assessment, Version 2. Task Group on Data and Scenario Support for Impact and Climate Assessment, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, Switzerland.
CCAFS (CLIMATE CHANGE,AGRICULTURE AND FOOD SECURITY) (2016) GCM Downscaled Data Portal.
ccafs-climate.org [accessed October 2016].
CEBALLOS, G., EHRLICH, P.R., BARNOSKY, A.D., GARCÍA, A., PRINGLE, R.M. & PALMER, T.M. (2015) Accelerated modern
human-induced species losses: entering the sixth mass extinction. Science Advances, 1,e1400253.
CHEN, I-C., HILL, J.K., OHLEMÜLLER, R., ROY, D.B. & THOMAS, C.D. (2011) Rapid range shifts of species associated with high levels of climate warming. Science, 333, 1024–1026.
COLLINS, M., TETT, S.F.B. & COOPER,C.(2001) The internal climate variability of HadCM3, a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments. Climate Dynamics, 17, 61–81.
COX, N.A. & TEMPLE, H.J. (2009) European Red List of Reptiles. Office for Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
DAVIES, K.F.,MARGULES, C.R.&LAWRENCE, J.F. (2004) A synergistic effect puts rare, specialized species at greater risk of extinction. Ecology, 85, 265–271.
FOUFOPOULOS,J.& IVES, A.R. (1999) Reptile extinctions on land‐ bridge islands: life‐history attributes and vulnerability to extinction. The American Naturalist, 153, 1–25.
GORDON, H.B., ROTSTAYN, J.L., MCGREGOR, M.R., DIX, E.A., KOWALCZYK, S.,O’FARREL, P. et al. (2002) The CSIROMk3 Climate System Model. CSIRO Atmospheric Research Technical Paper No. 60, Canberra, Australia.
HAINES, M.L., STUART-FOX, D., SUMNER, J.,CLEMANN, N.,CHAPPLE, D.G. &MELVILLE,J.(2017) A complex history of introgression and vicariance in a threatened montane skink (Pseudemoia cryodroma) across an Australian sky island system. Conservation Genetics, 18, 939–950.
HICKLING, R., ROY, D.B., HILL, J.K., FOX,R. & THOMAS, C.D. (2006) The distributions of a wide range of taxonomic groups are expanding polewards. Global Change Biology, 12, 450–455.
HIJMANS, R.J. (2016) raster: Geographic Data Analysis and Modeling. R package version 2.5-8.
CRAN.R-project.org/package=raster [accessed 23 July 2019].
HIJMANS, R.J., CAMERON, S.E., PARRA, J.L., JONES, P.G. & JARVIS,A. (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology, 25, 1965–1978.
IPCC (2013) Annex I: Atlas of Global and Regional Climate Projections (eds G.J. van Oldenborgh, M. Collins, J. Arblaster, J.-H. Christensen, J. Marotzke, S.B. Power, M. Rummukainen & T. Zhou), pp. 1311–1313,In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis (eds T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tognor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex & P.M. Midgley), Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, USA.
JARVIS, A., REUTER, H.I., NELSON,A.&GUEVARA,E.(2008) Hole-filled SRTM for the globe Version 4, available from the CGIAR-CSI SRTM 90 m Database.
srtm.csi.cgiar.org [accessed 23 July 2019].
KAWAMURA, K., AKIYAMA, T., YOKOTA, H., TSUTSUMI, M., YASUDA, T.,WATANABE,O. &WANG,S.(2005) Quantifying grazing intensities using geographic information systems and satellite remote sensing in the Xilingol steppe region, Inner Mongolia, China. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 107, 83–93.
LEHTOMÄKI,J.&MOILANEN,A.(2013) Methods and workflow for spatial conservation prioritization using Zonation. Environmental Modelling and Software, 47, 128–137.
LELIEVELD, J., HADJINICOLAOU, P., KOSTOPOULO, E., CHENOWETH, J., EL MAAYAR, M., GIANNAKOPOULOS, C. et al. (2012) Climate change and impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East. Climatic Change, 114, 667–687.
LEMONNIER-DARCEMONT, M., KATI, V.,WILLEMSE,L.& DARCEMONT,C.(2018) Effects of changing grazing systems on the threatened genus Peripodisma (orthoptera: Acrididae:
Oryx, 2021, 55(3), 334–343 © The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S0030605319000322
Page 1 |
Page 2 |
Page 3 |
Page 4 |
Page 5 |
Page 6 |
Page 7 |
Page 8 |
Page 9 |
Page 10 |
Page 11 |
Page 12 |
Page 13 |
Page 14 |
Page 15 |
Page 16 |
Page 17 |
Page 18 |
Page 19 |
Page 20 |
Page 21 |
Page 22 |
Page 23 |
Page 24 |
Page 25 |
Page 26 |
Page 27 |
Page 28 |
Page 29 |
Page 30 |
Page 31 |
Page 32 |
Page 33 |
Page 34 |
Page 35 |
Page 36 |
Page 37 |
Page 38 |
Page 39 |
Page 40 |
Page 41 |
Page 42 |
Page 43 |
Page 44 |
Page 45 |
Page 46 |
Page 47 |
Page 48 |
Page 49 |
Page 50 |
Page 51 |
Page 52 |
Page 53 |
Page 54 |
Page 55 |
Page 56 |
Page 57 |
Page 58 |
Page 59 |
Page 60 |
Page 61 |
Page 62 |
Page 63 |
Page 64 |
Page 65 |
Page 66 |
Page 67 |
Page 68 |
Page 69 |
Page 70 |
Page 71 |
Page 72 |
Page 73 |
Page 74 |
Page 75 |
Page 76 |
Page 77 |
Page 78 |
Page 79 |
Page 80 |
Page 81 |
Page 82 |
Page 83 |
Page 84 |
Page 85 |
Page 86 |
Page 87 |
Page 88 |
Page 89 |
Page 90 |
Page 91 |
Page 92 |
Page 93 |
Page 94 |
Page 95 |
Page 96 |
Page 97 |
Page 98 |
Page 99 |
Page 100 |
Page 101 |
Page 102 |
Page 103 |
Page 104 |
Page 105 |
Page 106 |
Page 107 |
Page 108 |
Page 109 |
Page 110 |
Page 111 |
Page 112 |
Page 113 |
Page 114 |
Page 115 |
Page 116 |
Page 117 |
Page 118 |
Page 119 |
Page 120 |
Page 121 |
Page 122 |
Page 123 |
Page 124 |
Page 125 |
Page 126 |
Page 127 |
Page 128 |
Page 129 |
Page 130 |
Page 131 |
Page 132 |
Page 133 |
Page 134 |
Page 135 |
Page 136 |
Page 137 |
Page 138 |
Page 139 |
Page 140 |
Page 141 |
Page 142 |
Page 143 |
Page 144 |
Page 145 |
Page 146 |
Page 147 |
Page 148 |
Page 149 |
Page 150 |
Page 151 |
Page 152 |
Page 153 |
Page 154 |
Page 155 |
Page 156 |
Page 157 |
Page 158 |
Page 159 |
Page 160 |
Page 161 |
Page 162 |
Page 163 |
Page 164