INDUSTRY NEWS/行業新聞
VDMA: Foundry Machinery Sector Growing in Challenging Environment VDMA:铸造机械行业在挑战中成长
In 2013, average growth in the
foundry machinery sector was five percent, according to VDMA, an engineering association based in Germany. However, the production volume in Germany was five percent lower last year than in 2012, reaching a figure slightly over €1 billion. “Foundry machinery manufac-
turers could not expect more dy- namic growth in 2013 in view of the recession in some parts of Europe, otherwise sluggish developments and growing competition in key export markets, especially in China,” said Dr. Timo Würz, managing director of the VDMA foundry machinery specialist association. “However, the continued upward trend shows that the sector is master- ing the complex challenges of internationalization.” In view of developments in key customer sectors, espe-
cially automobile production, the threshold to double-digit growth may once again be crossed in 2014. Respondents to an association survey on the economic situation expect aver- age sales growth of eight to ten percent in the current year despite the many challenges faced – from exchange rate shifts through financing questions to the consistent development of the metallurgy machinery industry in China. At the end of last year, there were already signs the slump in orders received by the foundry machinery sector may be coming to an end. On average, there was still a slight fall in new orders received in 2013 compared with the previous year. However, more orders than in 2012 were recorded from the Eurozone (up 14 percent) and other countries outside Europe (up 18 percent). Since the beginning of the year, German customers have been providing an additional boost, with orders for the first quarter of 2014 up 50 percent on the value for the corresponding period of the previous year. In order to assess developments in the near future, it is es- sential to take a look at the business climate in the sectors of industry which are the main customers for foundry products. For example the ifo business climate index for the machinery industry showed a slight positive trend at the end of the year. At 84 percent, capacity utilization is still slightly below the long-term trend. Te situation at German metalcasting facili- ties is similar. Tere has been a significant improvement in the ifo indices in the fields of automobile and automobile compo- nent production and metal production and processing since autumn 2013. Te equipment investment forecasts of the EU commission indicate further business potential, with predicted growth of almost six percent in Italy and Spain and more than seven percent in Poland. In addition, the sales successes of Ger- man automobile producers on the Chinese market could lead to growing exports and additional local investments. On the basis of export data from the five largest supplier countries ( Japan, China, Italy, Germany and the USA), it is
据VDMA（德国机械设备制 造业联合会）统计，2013年， 铸造设备行业的平均增长率为 5%。然而，德国2013年的产 量比2012年低5%，产值略超 10亿欧元。VDMA铸造设备 委员会负责人Timo Würz博士 说：“2013年，一些欧洲国家 经济衰退、发展缓慢，出口市 场的竞争压力加大，尤其是受 到中国市场的冲击。在此情况 下，欧洲的铸造设备企业仍取 得了快速发展。因此，持续的 发展表明铸造设备行业已能够
应对国际化带来的复杂挑战。”
2014年，在主要的客户领域，尤其是汽车行 业，将再次实现两位数的增长。行业协会的经济 形势调查反馈显示，尽管面对汇率变化、中国机 械设备行业的持续发展等挑战，今年的平均销售收 入预计将增长8%-10%。去年年底，已有迹象预 示铸造设备企业订单的下滑即将结束。总的来看， 与2012年相比，2013年的新订单仍有轻微下滑。 但是，来自欧元区及其他国家的订单比2012年要 多，分别上涨了14%和18%。自今年年初开始， 德国客户提高了订单的增长，第一季度的订单额比 2013年同期增长50%。
为了对近期的行业发展进行合理评估，有必要 对铸造产品的主要客户的商业环境进行研究。例 如，机械设备行业商业景气指数表明，今年年底之 前将呈现积极的发展趋势。产能利用率为84%，仍 略低于长期的发展趋势。德国铸造企业的情况与此 类似。商业景气指数显示，自2013年秋季，汽车 和汽车零部件、金属生产和加工行业的发展显著改 善。欧盟委员会对于设备投资的展望预测了更大的 商业潜力：意大利和西班牙将实现约6%的增长， 波兰的增长将超过7%。此外，德国汽车制造商在 中国市场的成功销售业绩将会带来出口的增长及更 多的本地化投资。
从最大的五个铸件生产国（日本、中国、意大 利、德国和美国）的出口数据来看，世界贸易量预 计下降了5%。经历了2012年的衰退后，德国铸造 机械供应商的出口再次回升（上涨4%）。海关数 据显示，德国在2013年的出口额达1.45亿欧元。 中国的出口贸易上涨19%，意大利的出口贸易下降
September 2014
FOUNDRY-PLANET.COM | MODERN CASTING | CHINA FOUNDRY ASSOCIATION | 29
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