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802


Journal of Paleontology 91(4):799–814


Diversification produces a tree with branching and extinction events and random sampling of nodes. Sampling events are indicated by dots. (2)A ‘reconstructed’ phylogenetic tree produced by pruning all of the unsampled lineages in 1.1. Thus, only the observed portion of samples participating in the macroevolutionary process is depicted. Note that some sampled nodes represent ancestors.


Figure 1. The set of stochastic branching, extinction, and sampling


events for a single FBD process gives rise to a ‘complete’ phylogeny with generating parameters π = (p, q, r, ε, to) (Fig. 1.1). The ‘sampled’ FBD phylogeny is obtained when all lineages with unsampled descendants produced by the process are pruned from the tree and therefore represents the reconstructed tree topology and divergence times implied by the sampled taxa (Fig. 1.2). Trees sampled from the FBD process are called sampled ancestor phylogenetic trees (even if no ancestors were sampled), and their nodes can be labeled to summarize their unique history of macroevolutionary and sampling events (Gavryushkina et al., 2014). Equations for calculating the probability density of f Ψj π


FBD parameters p, q, r, and ε can be derived by modifying birth–death sampling models used to study virus transmissions in epidemiology (Stadler, 2010; Stadler et al., 2012; Gavryush- kina et al., 2014; Zhang et al., 2016), and their details are discussed in the Appendix.


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Taxon sampling, characters analyzed, and specimens examined


The character matrix analyzed herein was constructed as part of a larger project resolving phylogenetic relationships among Paleozoic crinoids. I updated, modified, and expanded the character list of Ausich et al. (2015) to include an ensemble of new characters to better capture variation among post- Ordovician taxa, particularly among ‘cladids’ (Ausich et al., 2015; Wright and Ausich, 2015). Because the taxonomic diversity of fossil crinoids is formidably high for comprehensive analysis, taxon sampling was restricted to Ordovician through Devonian species and multiple exemplars were sampled at pertinent taxonomic scales appropriate to the present analysis (Brusatte, 2010). The matrix was constructed in an attempt to maximize sampling across the broad spectrum of taxonomic, morphologic, and preservation gradients while keeping rigorous analysis tractable (Wagner, 2000c; Carlson and Fitzgerald, 2007; Heath et al., 2008).


Illustration of the fossilized birth–death process. (1) A full realization of the FBD process from time t in the past to the end of the process.


The data set contains representative species fromOrdovician, Silurian, and Devonian families of nominal ‘cladids’ (including


cyathocrines and dendrocrines), disparids, hybocrinids, and flexibles (all taxa sensuMoore and Laudon, 1943). Species chosen as exemplars were typically the type species of a type genus that well characterizes the distribution of morphologic traits for each higher taxon, but sometimes geologically older species and/or more complete specimens were sampled instead (Table 1). Characters, plate homologies, and terminology are after Ubaghs (1978) and Ausich et al. (2015), with updates from Webster and Maples (2006) andWright (2015). All but four traits were treated as unordered binary ormultistate characters (SupplementalData 1). These four characters were ordered based on known patterns of crinoid development, and arguments for ordering these traits are discussed byWright (2015) andWebster andMaples (2006, 2008). Unknown and inapplicable character stateswere coded as missing. This new compilation of more than 3,000 specimen-based observations is the largest and most comprehensive morpho- logic data matrix ever constructed sampling Ordovician and post-Ordovician fossil crinoids (Supplemental Data 2). In the final matrix, a total of 87 discrete morphologic


characters comprisingmore than 300 character states were sampled across 42 species of non-camerate crinoids (SupplementalData 2). Camerateswere not included in the analysis because they diverged from non-camerate crinoids by at least the earliest Ordovician (Guensburg and Sprinkle, 2003; Guensburg, 2012; Ausich et al., 2015; Cole, 2017). Although tip-dating analyses do not per se require use of an outgroup (Ronquist et al., 2012), there are several reasons I used the Tremodocian species Apektocrinus ubaghsi Guensburg and Sprinkle, 2009 to assist rooting the tree. Apektocrinus was originally described as a tentative cladid that featured traits intermediate between protocrinoids and nominal cladids (Guensburg and Sprinkle, 2009). Protocrinoids were originally considered basal crinoids stemward of the divergence between camerates and non-camerates (Guensburg and Sprinkle, 2003). However, Guensburg (2012) subsequently placed protocrinoids within the Camerata, and later analyses by Ausich et al. (2015) recovered protocrinoids to be closer to non-camerates than to camerates. Regardless of the labile phylogenetic position of


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