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Business profile


Effect of the weather T


his country’s ageing transport infrastructure must be maintained and operated in the context of the global economic crisis, which presents the most challenging financial position that the UK has experienced in decades; while at the same time it is subjected to more frequent incidents of extreme weather as a result of the changing climate. These challenges are real and should be prioritised. With them comes the opportunity to make substantive improvements to the resilience of the networks and to shape strategy and policy for long-term planning through decisive, well-informed investment, decision making and interventions that achieve value for money.


Regarding earthworks, weather has a key influence on stability and the consequences of instability are extremely costly. Recently, TRL has been working with Network Rail regarding the impact of periods of prolonged drought on its geotechnical assets. This research pulls together expertise in engineering, geology, whole life costing, climate projections and asset management to provide information and tools to help transport operators make difficult decisions about the future maintenance and operation of the UK transport system.


The extremely low rainfall levels experienced in the UK in 2010/11 adversely impacted on railway earthworks, particularly on the Anglia Route, located in the driest part of the country. Desiccation of expansive soils such as London clay and shrinkage of peat, led to embankment movement and problems of track geometry, bringing travel disruption and increased maintenance costs.


Climate projections indicate that periods of drought are likely to increase in frequency and duration, with the south east of England the worst affected. This has significant implications for large sections of the Anglia Route which are located on moisture susceptible soils. Network Rail faces the decision of whether to continue to cope with increasing disruption and maintenance costs or invest in preventive action to increase stability of the earthworks. TRL is developing a cost benefit


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model to identify if the current reactive response, for example, tamping affected sections, is the most cost-effective solution for the future, or if increasing incidents of drought mean that preventive adaptation measures are the best long term option. Analysis was carried out on historic data provided by Network Rail for three study sites: correlating the delay associated with earthwork failure, and the amount of online track maintenance carried out, to periods of low soil moisture. These correlations were combined with climate projections (UKCP09) and used to estimate future delay and maintenance costs, which were compared with the cost of actions to increase earthwork stability, such as piling.


The UK is experiencing a unique set of climatic and economic conditions that pose huge challenges for the railway industry. Sarah Reeves from TRL discusses how to protect the network’s assets and safeguard their future


The Incremental Economic Indicator, a measure of the cost effectiveness, was calculated as the ratio of whole life cost savings to the increased initial costs of the adaptation action. When completed the results of the study will be published on TRL’s website.


The methodology developed in this work can inform transport operators in strategic decisions about the future management of their assets, providing input to budgets and maintenance plans. Hundreds of millions of pounds of direct and indirect costs can be attributed to extreme weather events. Better understanding of the vulnerability of key assets to different weather conditions and how to cost-effectively improve their resilience requires taking a long-term strategic view, informed by appropriate data, knowledge and decision support tools.


TRL is working with its customers across the world in areas such as standards and specifications, material properties, failure mechanisms, risk assessments, instrumentation and monitoring, and use of geosynthetics to help them achieve this. For further information, contact: Sarah Reeves, TRL. Tel: 01344 770562. Email: sreeves@trl.co.uk www.trl.co.uk


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