EU Bytes Glenn Cezanne A
s more and more people are getting concerned across Europe with the coronavirus, I wonder more and more about how people approach it. Some decide to stay at
home and go shopping for the apocalypse, while other decide to continue their life going outside (quarantine permitting), meeting with friends and business associates and taking the necessary precautions such as avoiding shaking hands and washing them thoroughly. In the meantime, stock markets are plummeting, and I can only imagine what is going in the world of casinos. I look forward to the fi gures that defi ne the trend of casino visits vs. online gambling over the last months. And, what about gambling halls? I have already heard about measures pertaining to hand-sanitizers and constant disinfecting of machines. So, what category would you place yourself? The, “non-carer”? The “can’t stay at home, yet cautious” person? The “pull down the hatches
and brace yourself” entrencher? It is with these contrasts in mind, I want to publish some extracts of a conversation I had with Joachim Marnitz, our Senior Strategic Advisor. He and I are very different in our approach, and I thought it refl ects very well in a few questions we have bounced back and forth, especially pertaining to statistics and predictability – the basis of any bet.
Communication and virus spreading
G. Cezanne: I am not so sure whether it is my concern about the potential pandemic or my obsessive love for communications that is driving me to have this conversation about the coronavirus with you. Well, mind you, the constant updates and suggestions you are sending me, are turning my head towards the matter all the time. But, apart from the physical symptoms, there
are those that appear in my everyday conversations. One handshake or cheek-to-cheek
Glenn Cezanne and Joachim Marnitz discuss the fi ner points of the deadly virus
greeting less there, one meeting or another cancelled here; or, sometimes replaced by a phone-call. I really am fascinated about how it is impacting forms and frequency of communication. Obviously, more and more caution is to be expected, but at what rate? Plotting the relationship between levels of communication and spread of the virus could be an interesting exercise, especially to see the time difference between an exponential growth in one or the other. One would not necessarily precede the other, especially as one case can cause an extensive quarantine. And, the long incubation period probably makes the conclusions more diffi cult. I think I just also fi nd it sad, because in a world where there are so many preconceptions and misunderstandings, the last thing we need further segregation.
J. Marnitz: Yes, it would be interesting to plot the information, but the data would be very
32 MARCH 2020
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