Economic Outlook no. 1189-1190 |Macroeconomic, Risk and Insolvency Outlook
Euler Hermes
World economic growth Annual average contribution to world growth, in %
5 4 3 2 1 0
9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 143210987654321098 Sources: IHS Global Insight, Euler Hermes forecasts
-1 -2 -3
0 1 2 3 4 5
forecasts
10 15
6.3
Rest of the world OECD countries
9 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 143210987654321098 Sources: national figures, IHS Global Insight, Euler Hermes forecasts
-15 -10 -5 0 5
Economic forecasts GDP
World USA
Canada Japan
Australia Euro zone Germany France Italy
Spain
Netherlands Belgium Austria Finland Greece Ireland
Portugal UK
Sweden Denmark Norway
Switzerland
Central and Eastern Europe Russia
Asia (excluding Japan) China India
Latin America Brazil
Middle East and Africa GDP growth Q3 2012 compared to Q1 2008
Share * 2011 2012 2013 2014 100.0
22.5 2.6 8.8 2.2
19.5 5.3 4.1 3.3 2.2 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 3.6 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.9 7.0 2.8
20.4 10.9 2.8 8.3 3.7 2.6
3.0% 1.8% 2.6%
-0.7% 2.4%
2.4% 2.2% 2.0% 1.7% 3.5%
1.0% 0.1%
2.5% 1.9% 2.1% 0.3% 2.6%
1.5% -0.5% -0.1% 3.1% 1.7%
0.4% 0.0%
0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7%
0.8% 0.2%
0.6% -2.1% -0.8% 0.4% -1.5% -1.6% 1.1% -0.9% 1.8% -0.2% 2.7% 2.7%
-7.1% -6.0% -3.7% 1.4%
0.2% 1.3% 1.4%
-1.7% -3.0% -1.7% 0.9% -0.1% 3.8%
1.1% -0.5% 1.3% 1.9% 4.6% 4.3% 7.2% 9.2% 6.5% 4.2% 2.7% 3.3%
Change from one period to the next Sources: IHS Global Insight, Euler Hermes forecasts * GDP 2011 weighing at current exchange rates
3.1% 0.9% 2.4% 3.8% 5.9% 7.6% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 4.6%
0.8% 1.4% 0.6% 2.2% 1.0% 3.0% 4.0% 6.4% 8.0% 6.5% 3.5% 3.3% 3.4%
forecasts Sources: national statistics, IHS Global Insight 5
3.2% 2.5% 2.6% 0.8% 3.2% 1.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0%
-0.1% 2.0% 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 3.4% 4.0% 6.7% 8.2% 7.0% 3.8% 3.8% 4.3%
Greece Portugal Ireland Italy Spain
Denmark Finland
United Kingdom Japan
Euro zone
Netherlands France
Belgium Austria Germany
United States Norway
Switzerland Canada Sweden Australia
0.5% 1.0% 1.6% 2.8% 2.9% 4.4% 5.4% 5.4% 11.1%
-11.2% -7.2% -6.9% -6.8% -6.3% -4.1% -3.8% -3.1% -3.0% -2.7% -2.2% -0.9%
4.8 2.9 0 5.1 2.6 13.9 12.2 10.5 9.2 7.4 7.2 5.9 3.5 4.1 5.9
World trade in goods and services Yearly change, in %
forecasts
-11.8
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