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Go Back to www.IndependentRetailer.com MANAGEMENT Open to Buy Planning


THE FORMULA for open-to- buy (OTB, a fi nancial budget for retail merchandising) planning is not diffi cult. To start, look at planned sales. Where do they come from? Most independents get into trouble right out of the gate, by getting this segment of the planning process wrong. A common, albeit incorrect ap- proach, is to plan monthly sales volume based on last year. Using last year’s fi gures to project future sales is wrong on several levels. If sales last year were driven by markdowns and were thus un- profi table, there is a good chance that planning around that num-


ber for the upcoming year may render the same, if not worse results. If sales were off due to a downward fashion trend or poorly timed shipments, the classifi ca- tion (method used to organize and analyze sales and inventory data) would also falter and the store may in fact end up under planning the classifi cation. Sales planning, projecting,


forecasting or whatever label you wish to assign to it, needs to be done at the classifi cation level and not by brand. Most in- dependents almost always want to plan for an increase in busi- ness, whether warranted or not.


An unrealistic sales forecast will generally lead to an overbought situation, which in turn will lead to increased markdowns at best, and decreased turn and cash fl ow at worst. Classifi cations get planned up based on profi table sales and trends, and down when the reverse happens. Merchan- dise planning that originates at the class level and rolls up to the department and then store level is referred to as bottom-up plan- ning, as opposed to top down planning, which emanates from a total company plan and works its way down to the class level.


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