Tim Walz: Uninspiring Choice for Veep K
amala Harris’ first big decision on the campaign trail was the
selection of Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. But once under the spotlight,
despite his jovial, everyman image, it soon emerged that Walz had left his National Guard unit knowing the warriors under his command were about to be deployed to a war zone. Later, Walz repeatedly strongly
implied he had served in battle, which was never the case, and stated in his bio that he retired as a command master sergeant, which was also incorrect. Several veterans who served with
Walz objected to what they saw as a case of “stolen valor,” while others came to his defense. The Harris campaign quietly updated his campaign biography. Republicans also criticized Walz for
being too slow in 2020 to respond to riots
in Minneapolis following the killing of George Floyd. A police station was burned, small businesses were torched, and Walz waited three days to call out the National Guard. For Republicans who questioned
the real-world experience of Harris, an ambitious, lifelong civil servant who had worked her way up the ladder as a California prosecutor, the decision to put Walz on the ticket was hardly reassuring.
RFK Jr.: Footnote or Kingmaker? W
hen Robert F. Kennedy Jr. endorsed Donald Trump
in August, he said he’d left the Democratic Party because it had “departed so dramatically from the core values I grew up with.” “It had become the party of war,
censorship, corruption, Big Pharma, Big Tech, big ag, and big money,” he said.
Before Joe Biden pulled out of his
reelection campaign in July, RFK Jr. appeared to be pulling more votes from Biden than Trump. But after Vice President Kamala
Harris replaced Biden, young voters edged back toward the Democrat ticket, costing Trump perhaps 1% in the polls.
defenestrated, his Keystone cachet is gone. Trump Voters Still Slightly
Under-Polled. Trump voters are notoriously shy about declaring their allegiance to pollsters. Trump trailed Hillary Clinton by 9 points in Pennsylvania on Election Day, yet won. Biden had nearly a 6-point lead in 2020, and Trump lost by a
swing voters into Trump’s fold. Vance has spent a ton of time barnstorming to encourage proud “Yinzers” there to vote for his boss. Trump Is Polling Better This Year. Trump only led in two of 59 polls in Pennsylvania in 2016, and five of 84 polls there in 2020. This cycle, he led in 13 of 17 polls as of late August. Dems Pushed Biden Out of the Race.
President Joe Biden’s everyman homage to common sense always seemed to resonate with Pennsylvania voters, and he never let them forget he was born in Scranton. Biden defeated Trump by about 1% of the vote in 2020, but now that Biden’s been
single point. While it appears supporters are more “proud and loud” for Trump this year, he could probably trail Vice President Kamala Harris by a couple of points and still win. Harris’ Snub of Gov. Josh Shapiro. Considered the Keystone State’s most popular politician, Shapiro is widely praised for reaching across the aisle to get things done. Trump’s team sensed right away that spurning Shapiro could cost Harris votes in Pennsylvania. On the campaign trail there, Vance said he “genuinely feels bad” that Shapiro “had to run from his Jewish heritage” due to anti-Israel activists in his own party.
Whether RFK Jr.’s endorsement
can win Trump a key swing state like Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania remains an open question. But in an election that may be
decided by as few as 10,000 votes in one of those states, RFK Jr.’s historic break with his father’s party could prove the difference.
Vance called it “absolutely disgraceful” and “insulting to Americans.” Butler, Pa., Residents Will Turn Out
Like There’s No Tomorrow. Butler County has about 200,000 residents. Following the assassination attempt that claimed the life of firefighter Corey Comperatore, who died shielding his family and whose firefighter uniform was prominently displayed on stage at the GOP convention, they are expected to turn out en masse to cast their ballots for Trump. Harris’ Attacks on Fracking. About
50,000 Pennsylvania jobs depend on the energy industry, and as much as Democrats have tried to blur Harris’ record, there’s not much wiggle room for the champion of the Green New Deal. Harris was for banning fracking before she was against it — she openly supported a fracking ban during her 2020 campaign. At the convention, Vance pointedly asked why Biden was “willing to buy energy from tinpot dictators across the world when he could buy it from his own citizens right here in his own country.”
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