OHIO
Republican entrepre- neur Bernie Moreno was supposed to be the can- didate who would finally take out Democrat Sen. Sherrod Brown. But no poll shows
MORENO
Brown trailing Moreno and, after all but two of the last 50 years in elective office, the lone Democrat statewide officeholder in the Buckeye State is still going strong.
BROWN
WISCONSIN An American Greatness poll showed another wealthy Republican busi- nessman can- didate, Eric Hovde, trailing Democrat Sen. Tammy Bald- win 50%-43%.
HOVDE BALDWIN
PENNSYLVANIA This leaves Pennsylvania’s Sen. Bob Casey as the most vulnerable of the Democrat senators facing the voters. Having barely lost the 2022 Senate
primary, former Bush administration official David McCormick began laying the ground- work for a challenge to Casey in ’24. Both MAGA and establishment Repub- licans embraced him, and it appears he is headed toward a tight battle with three-termer Casey. A Rasmussen poll
CASEY MCCORMICK
showed Casey edging McCormick at 46%-43%
and an Emerson poll put the oppo- nents at 48%-44%.
MARYLAND Among open seats, Republicans got a nice surprise in Maryland. A recent sur- vey conducted by the American Association of Retired Persons showed former Republican Gov.
HOGAN
Of the 15 Democrats seeking reelection, no fewer than five appeared vulnerable. And four of the five seats from which Democrat senators were retiring were strong prospects for GOP pickups.
ALSOBROOKS
Larry Hogan and Demo- crat Angela Alsobrooks tied 46%-46% — stun- ning in a state that last elected a GOP sena- tor in 1980.
The figures are even more stun- ning when one considers that Kama- la Harris leads Donald Trump in the Free State by more than 30%. As he did in 2016 and 2020, the moderate-conservative Hogan has made clear he will write in someone else for president other than Trump.
MICHIGAN While certainly not as safe a bet for a Republi- can pickup as West Vir- ginia, the seat of retiring Sen. Debbie Stabenow in Michigan is in the prover- bial “play.” Democrat Rep. Elaine
ARIZONA The seat of retiring Sen. Kyrsten Sinema was ini- tially seen as a Democrat “hold” with the candida- cy of Rep. Ruben Gallego — easily to the left of Sinema. But in the clos- ing days of the campaign, Kari Lake, former TV anchor and 2022 guberna- torial nominee, appears to be gaining steam. “[Former Gov.] Doug Ducey and
GALLEGO LAKE
Karrin Taylor Robson, who was Kari’s primary opponent for gover- nor, have both come out strongly for her,” former state GOP Chairman Randy Pullen told Newsmax. “Kari has momentum now.”
THESE STATES STAY REPUBLICAN On the Republican side, the seats of outgoing Sens. Mike Braun of Indiana and Mitt Romney of Utah will remain in Republican hands. No GOP incum- bent is in danger — not even the ever-contro- versial Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas.
Some polls show Cruz
in a horse race with Dem- ocrat Rep. Colin Allred “because he’s Ted Cruz,” explained the NRSC’s Steve Daines. “The race is nation-
SLOTKIN ROMNEY
BRAUN
Slotkin leads Republican former Rep. Mike Rog- ers 49%-39% in a TIPP Insights poll. But both the NRSC and the state
ROGERS
GOP under Chairman Pete Hoekstra have said they are going all out for Rogers, as has Donald Trump (who always includes and mentions Rogers in his stops in the Wolverine State).
alized, and a lot of money will be poured in. It’s not unlike Kentucky; the money flowed in to defeat [Senate GOP Leader] Mitch McConnell because he’s a national figure.” So, the Senate could go Repub-
CRUZ ALLRED
lican with several seats over the required 50-plus capture of the presidency. But that scenario, like most of the close Senate contests, depends on a lot of “ifs.”
OCTOBER 2024 | NEWSMAX 53
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