ITCA Update
How was 2010 for you? PETER JONES
Professor in Hospitality Management University of Surrey Hospitality blog:
http://profpeterjones.tumblr.com/
We have been analysing airline passenger demand for 2010 (excluding December) from a wide range of different sources (airport websites, reports, and IATA). Worldwide international passenger numbers grew by 8.1% over the previous year, whilst domestic passenger demand was 6% up, an overall increase of 6.9%. For the first time ever, Europe is on track to be the largest traffic region, moving ahead of the U.S. market. Even so, Asia Pacific, Middle East, Latin America
and the Caribbean had more significant growth. Regional traffic grew by 13% in the Middle East and 10.3% in Africa (due largely to three countries – Egypt, Tunisia, and South Africa). This compares
“For the first time ever, Europe is on track to be the largest traffic region, moving ahead of the US”
with 8.2% in Asia Pacific, 6.9% in Europe, and only 5% elsewhere. Some airports also had spectacular growth – Shanghai was up 24.5%, Manila by 16.5% and Barcelona by 15%. On the other hand some airports lost traffic – Athens and Mexico City were down 9.5% and London Stansted by 7.5%. In Europe, the top four airports had mixed
results. London Heathrow for the second year running had a decline in passenger numbers, although at 0.2% it was much less than the 1.5% decline in 2009. Like its main competitors it was affected by the volcanic ash cloud, as the snow fall
in December led to 9.5% fewer passengers than in the same month in 2009. It is estimated that these disruptions led to a loss of 2.4 million passengers. Paris CDG performed slightly better than LHR in 2010, but had had a much worse 2009 with a fall of 4.9% in passenger numbers. The big winner was Frankfurt with an increase of 4.1% in passenger numbers in 2010, which almost wiped out the previous year’s decline. This was despite a reported 22,000 cancellations in December, 15,000 more than the annual average over the last decade. In the USA, two major airports have bounced
back in 2010 to almost their 2008 passenger numbers – Atlanta with 89 million (up 0.78% on 2009) and Los Angeles with 59 million passengers (up 4.08% on 2009). Chicago is still down on 2008, with 67 million, but this is because it was particularly badly hit in 2009, whereas Denver had nearly a million more passenger in 2010 compared with 2008.
Bangkok International Suvarnabhumi Airport
In Asia Pacific, Bejing became the second busiest airport in the world, with more than 70 million passengers in 2010, compared with 51 million in Hong Kong (up 10.3 % on 2009). Likewise, Jakarta became southeast Asia’s busiest airport, handling 43.7 million passengers in 2010, up 17.6% on 2009. This is slightly more passengers than Singapore and Bangkok, which grew by 13.0% and 5.4% respectively last year. Dubai maintained its impressive rate of growth, which was 9.24% in 2009 and 15.4% in 2010. It handled 47 million passengers. Forecasts for 2011 suggest that it will be as
strong as 2010, if not stronger. But as last year’s figures show, the rate of growth can be quite different from one market to another. Given the current situation, the Middle East market may be severely affected.
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