THREAT ASSESSMENT


The level of security in place is related to the level of threat for the aviation industry.


Security measures in place are related to the likely and credible types of attacks which could be launched.


Level of threat may change but it is necessary to have a minimum baseline level of security in place as there is always an underlying threat to aviation.


Without a baseline level of security in place it would be impossible or extremely difficult to impose extra security measures in response to changes in the threat.


Threat Assessors


Intelligence agencies commission, collate and assess intelligence to identify potential terrorists. These assessors learn of threatener’s objectives and characteristics and gauge their motivation to commit acts of terrorism, intent to do so, and


capability/means to carry out acts.


Communicating Threat Levels - DHS The original color coded security advisory system implemented by Department of Homeland Security after September 11th, was scrapped in 2011 in favor of the current advisory system. This system is designed to more effectively communicate information about terrorist threats by providing timely, detailed information to the American public.


There are now two types of advisories: Bulletins and Alerts.


Bulletins communicate current developments or general trends regarding threats of terrorism.


Bulletins provide broad, general information about terrorism trends, events, and potential threats in those situations where additional precautions may be required.


Alerts are issued when credible information about a terrorist threat against the United States is recognized. This information is shared with the American public when circumstances dictate.


The Alert may include specific information, if available, about the nature of the threat, including the geographic region, mode of transportation, or critical infrastructure potentially affected by the threat, as well as steps that individuals and


communities can take to protect themselves and help prevent, mitigate or respond to the threat.


The Alert may take one of two forms: Elevated, if credible threat information exists, but with only general information about timing and target. Imminent, if it is believed the threat is credible, specific, and impending in the near term.


Other countries use different methods to communicate threat levels. For instance, the UK and other parts of Europe use a 5 part system.


Threat levels are designed to give a broad indication of the likelihood of a terrorist attack.


• LOW means an attack is unlikely.


• MODERATE means an attack is possible, but not likely


• SUBSTANTIAL means an attack is a strong possibility


• SEVERE means an attack is highly likely


• CRITICAL means an attack is expected imminently


Whatever the system used to communicate the threat, it is always wise to stay informed and vigilant.


While agencies like DHS convey threats in the US, the State Department provides detailed threat analysis from countries around the world. European countries also compile data and make it available detailing current threat levels in their member countries.


It is the responsibility of the Security Manager to ensure that these extra measures are put into place and that all flight and cabin crew are aware of any upgrade of Aviation Threat Level.


It is the responsibility of all flying crew to be vigilant on the aircraft, at airports and while staying in hotels.


Countermeasures


Countermeasures against attackers of aviation targets are based on four principles:


a) The necessity for an accurate up-to-date assessment of the threat


b) The desirability of neutralizing the hijackers/ saboteurs/terrorists


c) The need to protect potential targets and d) Preparing and using contingency plans to meet a hijack/terrorist situation


Business Aviation & Personal Security 8


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