THREAT TO AVIATION


Threat is defined as “the probability of an attack being attempted against the target within a specified time frame”. The THREAT depends upon two factors:


1. The terrorist’s intent or desire to attack the target, an example - the attractiveness of the target, and


2. Their capability.


For there to be a terrorist attack on aviation, terrorists must have both the desire to attack and the means by which to do so; these and other factors are taken into consideration when assessing the threat.


TYPE OF THREATS TO AVIATION


Threats to aviation come from different sources, examples being: • Hijacking (conventional and terrorist attacks) • Shooting down aircraft • Bomb on board an aircraft or at an airport • Sabotage of aircraft


• Terrorist attack at airports (weapons, vehicle bombs)


• Sabotage of airports


Hijacking remains a “spectacular” for the media and gains wide publicity because human lives are being used as currency for negotiation.


Different types of people or organizations may post a threat to aviation:


• Terrorists (international/domestic) • Criminals


7 Business Aviation & Personal Security


• Mentally ill • Disruptive passengers


Protesters (environmental/animal rights) • Refugees/Asylum Seekers • Political Pressure Groups/Protesters


Insider Threats - Insider threats can occur at any time. These threats can come from disaffected staff or recently dismissed staff seeking revenge or from staff manipulated through coercion or skilled influencing techniques to cause harm.


Motives: a) To gain publicity for their cause b) To gain the release of prisoners c) To change government / international policy d) To frighten the public and disrupt normal life e) To inflict fatalities and casualties


f) To target individuals for assassination who are possibly unsympathetic to their cause


g) To obtain money by threat / blackmail


h) To undermine and discredit authorities who oppose their cause


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