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and a key way we continue to differentiate ourselves, is to innovate in ways that creates value for our clients by investing wisely, over and over again.”


Straight-through-processing and connectivity services will be more important than ever, as new trade flows and business processes are adopted. Addressing new clearing-related concerns regarding margin calculations, risk offsets, position portability, CCP default waterfalls and procedures, etc. will require prime brokers to invest in additional client-facing resources to help increase understanding.


How do you see the future of FX broking? FX broking has developed to a very diverse and sophisticated level, with clients continually demanding more from their providers. The ability to offer both online and offline trading facilities such as desk dealing, is becoming more and more important to clients as they seek a complete trading service via one provider. Despite extreme market volatility in recent times, algorithmic trading strategies continue to do well – on both the buy and sell side – and I think fund managers and investors will continue to enhance or add these strategies to their investment mix. Therefore algorithmic trading as an execution and risk management tool will continue to evolve. Clients are also becoming more selective in terms of the provider and the product they use, so a regulated environment has and will continue to play an important role.


A great deal of integration, testing, risk simulation and on-boarding work lies ahead to prepare clearers and their clients for central clearing. In short, the cost, both fixed and variable, of being in the FX PB business is set to increase.


However, Pla believes that OTC Clearing will offer interesting new opportunities to simplify an increasing complex post-trade world. Clients grappling with new costs and new processes associated with central clearing are looking for convenience, safety and value. He says there is scope for addressing these needs through innovation in areas such as margin/cash management, collateral management, reporting and client service, the latter being especially important for multi-asset class prime services’ clients eager to consolidate their queries though a single point of contact for FX, CDS, IRS, etc.


Is market growth slowing now? Which regions and markets are driving the future growth of buy side FX? Despite less available liquidity and fewer participants in the market, recent FX volumes announced show that FX volumes continue to rise, albeit at a much slower rate than in previous years. Statistics produced by the UK’s Foreign Exchange Joint Standing Committee show that overall trading volumes for 2008 increased by 21% with spot trading up by 40% to $182 billion. Similar statistics in the US show an overall increase of almost 9% with spot trading increasing by 27% with Singapore and Canada following the pattern of falling swaps and options but rising spot. So although the market conditions may be difficult at the moment, FX still continues to grow.


Conclusion


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FX as an asset class continues to grow and it continues to grow across different client segments, but even as the world becomes more electronic, there is still much work to be done on FX options to provide the same STP flow for options without manual interaction, whether they are traded on a SEF or an expanded ECN. With product innovation firmly at the heart of the FXPB offering, greater automation of FX options is mostly likely to come from the prime brokers, and to what extent clearing will be integrated into the platforms remains to be seen, but it will most likely be central part of the new model for FX prime brokerage that is emerging.


How is the market changing? How do you see the FX market forging ahead in the next two to three years? In the current economic climate it is difficult to predict what the market will be like in two or three years time. However for 2009 I would say that we will see a ‘back to basics’ approach where investors will think more about what they are investing in and will stay much closer to their investments. This will benefit the FX and commodities market because of the simplicity of the underlying assets: vanilla and low-complexity products will become more popular with clients and investors, as well as corporates for hedging. As cost and efficiency continue to remain a focus, the role of technology will be essential in 2009 and the challenge for banks and providers will be to deliver superior products and service with competitive pricing that meet the needs of clients. Squared Financial is well placed to build on its current success and our offering continues to evolve in tune with our clients needs.


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