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Army of the Republic of Vietnam (ARVN) after the U.S. withdrew. That is a myth. The ARVN had ample funds, and the invading North Vietnamese army overran de- pots with enough ammunition and supplies to fi ght for years. George Washington’s men at Valley Forge didn’t have warehouses full of sup- plies or money from Congress; they had something they knew was worth fi ghting for. The ARVN did not, and it collapsed in six weeks. The same thing is true of Afghan-


istan today. Twelve years of self- delusion and admiring the emperor’s new clothes have not changed the reality. Seventy-fi ve percent of the delegates to the Afghan Emergency Loya Jirga in 2002 signed a petition to make their beloved King Zahir Shah the interim head of state, but the CIA used briefcases stuff ed with


cash and backroom shenanigans to install its puppet Hamid Karzai instead. Window dressing aside, the truth is the U.S. dictated a system of government the Afghans are centu- ries from being able to make work and then foisted an unstable, third- rate political nonentity off on them to lead it. Today, Karzai refuses to sign a basing agreement and now is publishing deliberately falsifi ed anti- U.S. Taliban propaganda. Holding an election or two


doesn’t make a democracy. Democ- racy is not a coat of paint, and wish- ful thinking and messaging are not a substitute for literacy and centuries of social development. Over 90 per- cent of Afghans cannot read a ballot. The last “election” was a major em- barrassment of massive vote fraud. Fewer than one eligible voter in fi ve voted. Democ-


[CONTINUES ON PAGE 115]


— Dr. M. Chris Mason was a Navy offi cer from 1981-86 and is a retired State Depart- ment diplomat. He holds a master’s degree in military studies from Marine Corps University, Quantico, Va., and a doctorate in military history from George Washington University, Washington, D.C. He wrote the Marine Corps guide on Afghan culture and served in Afghanistan in 2005.


post-2014 strategy for years has been part of the overall NATO and Western approach to sustaining the real gains made by the Afghan Na- tional Security Force (ANSF) over the long term. That strategy re- mains on track as the ANSF acquit- ted itself credibly in 2013, its fi rst fi ghting season in the lead. Nothing has occurred in the operational en- vironment that requires us to aban- don or under-resource it. The conversation about the strat- egy has grown complex and often obfuscated over whether to announce post-2014 numbers, the vitriol over the bilateral security agreement, and Karzai’s provocations. All of that has confused the message, and an increas- ingly skeptical public, about our com- mitment. Seeing through the smoke and ignoring the noise, the strategy, which envisaged a post-2014 force,


PHOTOS: RIGHT, COURTESY THE BROOKINGS INSTI- TUTION; TOP, COURTESY DR. M. CHRIS MASON


remains sound and locks in the hard- won security gains that have provided so many societal advances in Afghani- stan, from increased life expectancy to vastly improved access to education. Second, this phase is not about combat. For sure the troops will be protecting themselves, but the NATO and U.S. eff ort will be focused on training, advising, and assisting the ANSF to continue its upward spiral of capability, professionalism, and institutional cohesion. To that end, in January 2013, I recommended 13,600 U.S. troops, with the hope of another 5,000 to 6,000 coming from NATO and partners, remain in Afghanistan. Figures less than that will require a curtailing of some of our envisioned activities, but still much can be done. Much below 10,000 and the force will be under-resourced and consumed in force protec-


[CONTINUES ON PAGE 115]


— Gen. John R. Allen, USMC (Ret), is a distinguished fellow in the Foreign Policy program at the Brookings Institution. His fi nal tours on active duty were as deputy commander, Multinational Force – West, Al Anbar province, Iraq; deputy commander, U.S. Central Command; and commander, International Security Assistance Force and U.S. Forces in Afghanistan.


MARCH 2014 MILITARY OFFICER 99


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