TERRORISM ©General Atomics
©Ministère de la Défense
The MQ-1 Predator UAV. Drone strikes have increased in Yemen.
©IAEA The French in Mali
The hot cell at the Kinshasa reactor, DRC.
of 19.9% enriched uranium were stolen from a research reactor in Kinshasa –the only known case of theſt of nuclear fuel from a research reactor, with the whereabouts of seven of the fuel rods still unknown.
… and beyond
And it may not end there. According to Spain-based terrorism expert Fernando Reinares, some 20 radical Islamists are said to have disappeared from Spain to Mali in recent months. Other international jihadist volunteers are travelling to northern Mali and there is a growing danger that some would return and carry out attacks in Europe. Events taking place in areas of confl ict also have potential
repercussions on the West. In late January a leading Iranian cleric, Ayatollah Nasser Makarem Shirazi, warned the US to prepare for retaliation for the deaths of 103 Shiite Muslims in Quetta, Pakistan, which he claimed was fi nanced by the US and Saudi Arabia: “Today this crime was committed in Quetta, Pakistan, and tomorrow it will be Washington’s, London’s, Egypt’s and even Saudi Arabia’s turn.” According to the Director
The number of terrorist attacks involving IEDS (improvised explosive devices), guns, and rockets increased in 2012. June 2012 saw the most reported civilian casualties from explosive weapons in a single month in Iraq since the EVMP (Explosive Violence Monitoring Project) began records in October 2010. In Iraq and elsewhere, al Qaeda targets mainly Shi’ite communities and local security forces.
JUNE 2012: CASUALTIES FROM EXPLOSIVE WEAPONS COUNTRY
Iraq Syria Pakistan
Afghanistan Nigeria Gaza
Kenya Mexico
Colombia India
CIVILIAN ARMED 1,144
118 93 2
INCIDENTS 50
622 26 37 468 25 32 275
254 33 0
39 12 12 28 24
2 5
19 2 5 15 8 8
(Explosive Violence Monitoring Project (EVMP)
44 8
of Research at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Patrick Clawson, a shadow war exists between the US and Iran, evidenced by an Iranian-organized plot to kill the Saudi ambassador to the United States in Washington, D.C. and cyberattacks on US banks during 2012. Iran is already believed to have sleeper cells stationed in the US.
The increase in drone strikes in various countries such as the Pakistani border areas and Yemen, and arrests of suspected terrorists, may also produce a similar retaliatory response – including more capture of hostages at sensitive installations. The terrorists in Algeria demanded the release of two prominent terror suspects jailed in the US: Omar Abdel Rahman, an Egyptian sheik convicted of plotting to blow up New York City landmarks (and considered the spiritual leader of the 1993 World Trade Center bombing) and Aafi a Siddiqui, a Pakistani scientist convicted of shooting at two US soldiers in Afghanistan. One thing is certain: the cycle of arrests of terrorists and subsequent revenge attacks is set to continue, as are homegrown attacks, exemplifi ed by the Boston bombings in April – and may well involve whatever weapons are at their disposal. ❚❙
22 CBNW 2013/02
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