2.0 | Executive Summary
Planning for the future of East Renfrewshire with residents at the heart of our changes
East Renfrewshire, as with Scotland as a whole, is facing profound changes to its demography. The information, trends and statistics in this report include indications of the potential for some significant changes in the future structure of East Renfrewshire’s population, particularly in terms of its age profile and living arrangements, which will be highly crucial to decisions on future service provision and policy making.
Current and likely future demographic trends in East Renfrewshire include: •
Since 2001, population growth by 4.1 per cent to 92,940 in 2015¹. Seventy four per cent live in the Eastwood area (Busby, Clarkston and Williamwood, Eaglesham and Waterfoot, Giffnock, Netherlee and Stamperland, Newton Mearns and Thornliebank) and 23 per cent live in the Levern Valley (Barrhead, Neilston and Uplawmoor).
•
Population growth has been concentrated in Newton Mearns (5.7 per cent), Busby (5.4 per cent), Clarkston and Williamwood (4.5 per cent), Uplawmoor (3.5 per cent), Eaglesham and Waterfoot (3.2 per cent), Barrhead (3.2 per cent), Netherlee and Stamperland (1.1 per cent). Population declined in Neilston, Giffnock and Thornliebank.
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Numbers of children and young people increased by 7.5 per cent from 2011 to 2014. East Renfrewshire has the highest proportion of 10-14 and 15-16 year olds in Scotland and the second highest proportion of 5-9 year olds.
• • •
Declining death rates in all ages, leading to higher life expectancies for both men (79.8) and women (82.8). This is the second-highest life expectancy in Scotland.
Increasing ageing population with the second highest increase in the over 80s in Scotland. By 2025, almost one quarter of East Renfrewshire will be aged 65 or over.
Single person households increased over the past 13 years and now account for 30 per cent of the East Renfrewshire area. Nationally, single person households are now the most common household type.
11NRS Census estimates 2001 (release 1C) and NRS mid year estimates 2015 (June 2016) 2GCVSDPA projections based upon 2008 NRS Mid Year Estimates with higher migration rates 3NRS Census 2001 and 2011 estimates (release 1C) ⁴NRS Census 2011 at small area level (release 1C) ⁵ National Records Office of Scotland Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland 2012-2014 ⁶ NRS Census 2011 by Council area and age (release 1C) ⁷ GCVSDPA projections based upon 2008 NRS Mid Year Estimates with higher migration rates (Planning Scenario C) ⁸ NRS Census 2001 and 2011 household estimates, housing and living arrangements (releases 2A and 2C)
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Planning for the Future of East Renfrewshire
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