er a person was traditionally ill. Before the silent spreader premise rose to prominence in March, it was generally accepted that the reason why people who do not exhibit symptoms of disease are not threats to spread it is because their immune systems could be trusted to essentially self-quarantine infections when exposed. For context, Dr. Fauci had confirmed in late January 2020 interviews the long-held standard that “asymptomatic transmission has never been the driver of outbreaks.” What changed?

The immune system is innately built with a catalogue of all types of cells that should be there and the capability to recognize and swiftly deal with foreign invaders when they arrive and attempt to replicate. Such is why, with respect to the focus of infectious disease commentary being the small percentage of people who get diag- nosed and/or perish, it is of paramount importance to remember that, by an over- whelming margin, people recover and/or do not get sick; as of this writing, for in- stance, there were 11.8 million confirmed COVID cases worldwide, which means there would need to be an additional 66 million confirmed cases just to equal 1% of Earth’s population.

Conceptually, asymptomatic transmission crafted a horrifying new narrative that, in conjunction with the originally reported mortality rate of 3.4%, created the contro- versial public health protocols, including the lockdowns, and all the accompanying turmoil. In the United States and beyond, the response to COVID was as extreme as the projections. Few countries played the role of the pragmatist, as an unprecedent- ed spread of fear demanded its terror be mirrored worldwide. In the United States, the unemployment rate consequently saw its greatest month-to-month increase in the history of the statistic, 3.5% to 14.7%; millions of small businesses were forced to shut down; many lives were changed forever. The validity of both the hypothesis of silent spreading and the accuracy of the projections based on the death rate, there- fore, must be determined to figure out the best way to proceed, now and in the future.

Perception is reality, which is another important acknowledgement in this dis- cussion. Opinions are shaped by world- views. In this age of social media and 24-hour news, confirmation bias – inter- preting information in a way that matches an existing viewpoint – runs rampant. Nobody is unaffected by it. So, this is the

point when things can get tricky. Industries have been ravaged. Airlines are down 81%, a quarter to half of all restaurants are facing permanent shutdown, construction had its worst financial quarter since the housing crisis of 2008; the list goes on and on. This is dire, ladies and gentlemen. It must be clear and obvious that COVID-19 is the threat it was feared to be, and so the following data must be shared and under- stood for everyone to be fully cognizant of the situation at hand.

Interestingly, the “no doubt” suggestion by Dr. Fauci regarding asymptomatic trans- mission was based on the testimony of just one person, who initially said she was asymptomatic, but later admitted to being ill. To date, only a few studies have been published about silent spreading, yet none of them confirm the hypothesis and the current hallmark study outright refuted it. How revealing, considering that silent spreading is one of the core tenets of social distancing, mandatory masks, and the continued restrictions.

Asymptomatic transmission nevertheless remains the backbone of the explanation for the number of cases continuing to rise, which is the driving force behind the re- cent re-escalating fear. Should it, though? The key question remains whether the intense reaction to the virus was/is neces- sary. Anywhere from 40% to 80% of all confirmed cases are symptom free. Re- garding infectious disease, these people are perfectly healthy, yet due to the linger- ing panic they are being tested, often multiple times, skewing the data in spite of the lack of evidence to support that they can spread the virus. Dr. Zach Bush, a worldwide leader in understanding im- munity, has said that if a random person was tested for a panel of known-viruses, of which thousands among the presumed millions have been named, he/she would test positive for dozens of them, even without symptoms. Typically, these people would have been living their lives, un- aware of the virus present because their immune systems handled it already; pres- ently, they are being treated like sick people.

The number of cases is really not the con- cern, which is a statement that may seem confusing since so much attention has been given to the so-termed spike. Obvi-


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