LAND USE PROFILE | CHAPTER 2


Table 2.6: Requi red Commer c ial Land 2010 -2030 (1.25% Growth Rate) 2010


2020


Population Proportion Method Projected Population


Commercial Use/100 Residents Projected Commercial Use (acres)


Residential Use Proportion Method Residential Land (acres)


Commercial/Residential Ratio Projected Commercial Use (Acres)


2030


39,260 44,158 48,762 1.49


1.49 584.8 657.7 726.3


Conversion Need (Acres)


Designated Land (Acres, x 1.5)


1.49 141.5 212.3


4644.5 5163.8 5651.9 0.13


0.13 584.8 650.2 0.13 711.6 126.8


Source: RDG Planning & Design, 2011 Table 2.7: Requi red Indus t r ial Land 2010 -2030 (1.25% Growth Rate) 2010


2020


Population Proportion Method Projected Population


Industrial Use/100 Residents Projected Industrial Use (acres)


Residential Use Proportion Method Residential Land (acres) Industrial/Residential Ratio Projected Industrial Use (Acres) Source: RDG Planning & Design, 2011


39,260 2.60


1,020.4


4,644.5 0.22


1,020.4


44,158 2.60


1,147.7


5,163.8 0.22


1,134.5


2030 Conversion Need


48,762 2.60


1,267.4


5,651.9 0.22


1,241.7 221 332


Table 2.6 shows the results of these projection methods for commercial land use. The “hard demand” for new commercial land is estimated to be between 127-142 acres. To provide alternative site options and allow the market to function efficiently, the land use plan should designate 1.5 times the “hard demand,” approximately 190-212 acres.


This analysis considers primarily neighborhood and community-oriented commer- cial development and does not fully consider regional retail facilities. Because re- gional commercial development is not closely related to changes in a community’s population, it is extremely difficult to accurately estimate future demand for this type of development. Some commercial land designation for regional retail, ser- vices and office uses may be considered above these projections at key regional highway intersections and along major corridors. This issue is covered in the land use development concepts in section three of this document.


Table 2.7 calculates additional industrial land needs within the city. Based on the projection methods described above, this table shows that Cedar Falls should plan for between 332-370 acres for industrial and business park uses.


43 247 370 190.3


Designated Land (x1.5)


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