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Public Service; and the Rev. Richard Cizik, founder of the New Evangelical Partnership for the Common Good. NEWSMAKERS (C-SPAN), 10 a.m.: Michael F.Mundaca, assistant secretary of the Treasury for tax policy. FACE THE NATION (CBS,WUSA), 10:30 a.m.: Reps. John A. Boehner (R-Ohio) and Keith Ellison (D-Minn.); and former New Jersey governor Thomas H. Kean (R), co-chairman of the 9/11 Commission. MEET THE PRESS (NBC,WRC), 10:30 a.m.: Former New York mayor RudolphW. Giuliani (R); Clinton White House press secretary Dee DeeMyers; Reza Aslan, author of “No god but God: The Origins, Evolution, and Future of Islam”; and Republican strategistMikeMurphy.
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THE SUNDAY TAKE Dan Balz
In divided Chicago, mayor’s job is no sure thing for Emanuel
I
nWashington, the story of the upcoming Chicagomayor’s race has been all about Rahm
Emanuel. In Chicago, the story is different. There it is far too early for ticker-tape parades. InWashington, the questions
have been: “Will he or won’t he— and, by the way, who will replace him in the WhiteHouse when he goes?” In Chicago, the question is: “Can he or can’t he?” That doesn’t diminish the
reality that, if he decides to run, Emanuel would be a formidable candidate to succeedMayor Richard M. Daley, whose announcement that he won’t seek another term caught everyone by surprise. But would it be Emanuel’s for the asking? Hardly. President Obama waded into
themayor’s race Thursday with a virtual endorsement of his chief of staff.He told ABC’sGeorge Stephanopoulos that he believes Emanuel would make “a terrific mayor.” The reaction back in Chicago,
particularly from some of Emanuel’s potential opponents, has been less enthusiastic. “We don’t want someone anointed from the outside who’s not really served in Chicago or spent time in Chicago coming to Chicago and telling us how we will be governed,” Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., a potential candidate, toldCNN’s John King. Another possible African American candidate, state Sen. James T.Meeks, who is pastor of Salem Baptist Church on the city’s South Side, told John Kass of the Chicago Tribune that he was puzzled by what Obama said. “There is a danger for the president to stake out a position on Chicago politics when he doesn’t yet know all the details,” Meeks was quoted as saying. “We’re still coming together, we’re still meeting, so staking out a hard position so early on might be problematic.” Chicago is headed toward
what Chicago knows best, a big, brawling, fractious political campaign. But it has been some time since one took place. After two decades of the current Daley regime, the city’s politics have quieted.Now they’re about to get noisy. A Daley has governed Chicago
for 42 of the past 55 years.Now, the family has no heir apparent in the wings. For all the success Daley has enjoyed asmayor, he will leave behind a city in financial trouble, with a deep deficit that the nextmayor will have to fill. Divisions that Daley has managed to bridge or keep in the background threaten to break out again. Younger Chicagoans have little
memory of what transpired in the 1980s, when day-to-day political life was marked by fierce battles between white
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aldermen on the city council on the one hand andHarold Washington, the city’s first African Americanmayor, and his multiracial coalition on the other. Those conflicts gave Chicago
the nickname “Beirut on the Lake.”No one expects a reemergence of anything quite like that, but the politics that will unfold over the coming months will be a reminder of just how tribal the city’s political divisions can be. The broad outlines break
along traditional ethnic and racial lines: white, black and brown. But that only begins to describe the divisions. There are whites of various ethnic groups and ideologies. There are ethnic whites who are divided between theNorth Side and South Side. There are the liberals on the lakefront. There are African Americans on theWest Side and the South Side. In theHispanic community, there areMexicans and Puerto Ricans. As the race starts, potential
candidates have emerged from virtually every group and faction in the city. All have assets; none has a base big enough to assure victory—including Emanuel, who represented a congressional district stretching from the lakefront almost to O’Hare Airport from 2003 until he resigned to join Obama in the WhiteHouse after the 2008 election. There have been two samplings of public opinion since Daley said he will not run. One showed Emanuel polling at about 29 percent, with a significant lead over other possible candidates. The other listed nine candidates and showed Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart leading with 12 percent. Read all these preliminary
polls with great skepticism. The field is far from set.Under the rules for the election, Chicagoans will vote first on Feb. 22. Assuming no one in the crowded field gets more than 50 percent, there will be an April runoff between the top two vote-getters. Right now, many expect that the runoff could pit an African American against a white candidate. If Emanuel is that white
candidate, that would make Obama’s early intervention in the race touchier—possibly pitting the first African American president against the city’s black community.Meeks is not the only Chicagoan to raise questions about whether that would be good for the president as he prepares for his own reelection campaign in 2010. Emanuel no doubt
understands all this. Time is relatively short for decision- making, and he will not dither. He is known for being brash and brusque, for perpetual motion and quick action. But, just as he did when Obama recruited him to be chief of staff, he will methodically examine the race from many angles, including what impact it might have on his family, what it would take to win and what it would be like to govern the city. To tamp down the notion that
he believes themayor’s office is his for the asking or that the president can handpick the city’s next leader, Emanuel’s spokeswoman,Meredith Webster, issued a statement to Chicago news media Friday night.
“Rahm doesn’t believe that
anyone can be anointed or handed this election,” she said. “Additionally, it’s not up the media or anyone else to anoint someonemayor—only the people of Chicago will choose who should be theirmayor.” Emanuel faced criticism when
he first ran for Congress, with some saying that he hadn’t paid his dues in city politics and that he was parachuting back into his home town after spending much of the previous decade in Washington.He overcame those doubts and rose quickly through the ranks in Congress and then back to the WhiteHouse.He is now even more of a national figure—a big personality, particularly inWashington. How much that counts back
home is yet to be seen.What’s clear is that Chicagoans will make the nextmayor earn their trust in what promises to be one of the best urban political contests in many years.
balzd@washpost.com
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 12, 2010
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