OUTLOOK2017 more news at
www.heavyliftpfi.com What the major players are expecting from 2017
Grant Wattman, president and chief executive, Agility Project Logistics, is expecting slow growth in 2017 in capital projects, oil, gas and marine services in emerging markets especially. “We will continue to see retraction
in the industry with consolidations, bankruptcies, and reduction in service portfolios and geographic footprint. Degradation of service, quality, performance and safety will all be issues as this flushing out continues.”
Bjorn Hollnagel, sales manager, Bremen Overseas Chartering and Shipping (BOCS), believes reduced market demand makes it more difficult to develop further and new trade lanes. “BOCS’ will stick to the core
business and to concentrate further on keeping a lid on the costs of transports. It is also much more important to analyse the demands of customers in order to be able to react quickly and flexibly to any changed requirements.”
Yannick Sel, senior sales manager – global projects division, ALE, reports that his company is seeing more and more specialised transport engineering and installation projects becoming price-driven at subcontractor level, with some decision-makers selecting subcontractors on price rather than the expertise, quality assurance or even having the appropriate equipment. “This is an issue and a challenge of the industry we have to address.”
Michel Dubois, global head of energy and project solutions, Panalpina, says the importance of gas in the energy mix is growing as some governments move away from coal to gas because it is cleaner. “This will lead to strong prospects
for project logistics companies in industry sectors and projects related to LNG, including infrastructure such as floating storage regasification units, gas development and power generation facilities.”
project management at Hansa Heavy Lift, was less optimistic. “Overcapacity remains in the project and heavy lift markets, and there are no signs of a quick recovery in 2017. These market conditions will remain challenging for the project and super heavy lift carriers into the foreseeable future.” He added: “We do envisage
some improvements becoming visible toward the end of 2017 or the beginning of 2018 for the decommissioning and renewables market.” Not all industry analysts are
convinced about a turnaround. Dynamar’s Dirk Visser sees little indication of a recovery in multipurpose rates during 2017, saying “it is hard not to be pessimistic on the state of the heavy lift shipping segment. “But, heavy lift shipping
benefits from serving a large number of niche markets; each with specific dynamics and cycles.” Although most of our
respondents appear cautiously 24 January/February 2017
www.heavyliftpfi.com
optimistic about multipurpose vessel owners’ prospects for higher rates, Oatway says the market is likely to remain soft during the next few months. She cited the annual
Power generation projects... infrastructure projects will present
opportunities. –Gerhard Janssen, Rickmers-Linie
slowdown for the Chinese New Year, delayed deliveries in 2017 of ships ordered several years ago, and ongoing competition from bulk and box lines. “Until rate increases are
sustained in the bulk carrier and containership sectors, there will be little reprieve in their drive to obtain further market share,” she said.
HLPFI Signs of recovery in airfreight
Asked for his opinion on prospects for the heavy lift airfreight sector in 2017, Robert van de Weg (pictured), senior vice president, sales and marketing, Volga-Dnepr Group, said: “As far as market volumes are concerned, we are not pessimistic. The aerospace market has been very strong for us over a consistent period.
“We are also
starting to see welcome signs of recovery and economic activity in the oil and
gas market, which is stronger than it was 12 months ago. A sustained recovery in that sector will also have a
positive effect on a number of other industries and this too will be positive news for us because they will restart investment projects all over the world that will require our services. “There are market uncertainties at
present but my experience is that politically driven volatility is generally a good driver of airfreight growth.”
There are no signs of a quick recovery in 2017.
– Max Harmstorf, Hansa Heavy Lift
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