UK GDP, EARNINGS & CONFIDENCE: 2011-14 UK GDP, EARNINGS & CONFIDENCE, 2008-14 %
-3.5 -3.0 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
1.6% 1% 0.1% 0.2%
-0.9% -1.4%
-19 -1.9%-2.1% -2.5% -25 -32 -34 -33 * GfK Consumer Confidence: aggregate level in third month of quarter -30 -28 -1.8% -16 -15 -19 0.2%
0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0%
-0.4%-0.4% -1.6% -1.9% -19 -20 -21 -25 -30 -33 -31 -3.5% -29 -29 -29 **July-August figure Earnings: average earnings growth year on year offset by Consumer Price Index (CPI) 1.2 (ABTA)
CONSUMER PERCEPTION OF THE UK HIGH STREET
Don’t know 6%
More shops closed 27%
‘shops quieter’ 18%
Most
High street busy 12%
‘doing well’ 14%
No real change 23%
Most shops
% 5 2% GDP: % change quarter on quarter -26 0.4% -0.9% -0.2%
-1.4% -1.9%
-1.9% -2.2% 0.5% 0.1% -0.1% -0.9% -1.2% -1.9% -1.8% -1.7% 0.6% 0% -0.5%-0.2% -10 -1.2% -1.9% -13 -21 -5 -1.4% 0.8%
GDP Earnings GfK Consumer confidence*
0.5% 0.7% 0.8%
0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1
0.9% -0.1%
-0.9%** -1
-0.4%
-35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5
+4%
year-on-year INCREASE IN UK outbound holidays
UK CONSUMER CONFIDENCE & HOLIDAY SPENDING
2013 (ONS)
CONSUMER PERCEPTION OF THE UK HIGH STREET
Compared to 12 months ago
of overseas holidays PER PERSON IN BRITAIN IN 2014
AVERAGE NUMBER
-35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0
PERCEPTION OF UK HIGH STREET: BY AGE, SOCIAL GROUP Net % of consumers who see local high street/retail centre doing better/worse than 12 months ago
Household disposable income Q3
2014 2013 2012 2011
Net forecast spending Q3 (from Q2 tracker)
Reported spending Q3
Net forecast spending Q4
2014 2013 2012
2014 2013 2012
2014 2013
-50 Source: Deloitte Consumer Tracker Q3 2014
PERCEPTION OF UK HIGH STREET: BY AGE, SOCIAL GROUP Net % of consumers who see local high street/retail centre doing better/worse than 12 months ago
-6% -12% -15% -19% -17% -26% -33% All 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Source: TNS (October 2014) Base: 1,860 UK adults who have taken an overseas holiday
Child child No
AB C1 -32% C2DE North Midlands South London -13% -20% -14% -12% -11% -14% -21%
Net confidence on income
-33%
On holidays On restaurants & short breaks
On holidays On restaurants & short breaks
On holidays On restaurants & short breaks
-40 -30 -20
UK CONSUMER CONFIDENCE & HOLIDAY SPENDING -43%
-25% -18% -19% -16% -15%
-13% -13%
-10 -9% -6% -8% -5%
-4% -4%
-3% -3%
0
4% 4%
5 1%
Travel Weekly Insight Annual Report 2014 | 13
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