TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 2, 2010
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A9 ELECTION 2010 A viewer’s guide to tonight’s 509 races
Election Day 2010 has finally arrived. Republicans need to pick up at least 39 seats to take control of the House, and by most accounts they are within striking distance. Democrats will probably emerge bruised but still in control of the Senate but are headed toward losing their majority of governorships. However, until the last dangling chad (or pixel) is counted, anything can happen.
— By Meredith Chaiken, Karen Yourish and Laura Stanton Breakdown of the 37 Senate, 37 governor’s and 435 House seats in play. All times in EST.*
KEY to race squares Solid Democrat
Lean/likely Democrat Tossup
Lean/likely Republican Solid Republican
MORE online throughout the evening
House predictions based on the Cook Political Report. Senate and governor predictions based on analysis by Dan Balz and Chris Cillizza.
11 p.m. 9 p.m. For results as they unfold, go to
washingtonpost.com. 7 p.m.
Polls close in Georgia, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia, Indiana and Kentucky, sealing the fates of five Senate seats, three governorships and 46 House districts.
7:30 p.m.
North Carolina, West Virginia and Ohio wrap up contests for three Senate seats, a governorship and 34 House districts.
8 p.m.
It’s high noon for poll watchers as voters finish up in 16 states. In play are 10 Senate seats, a dozen governorships and more than 150 House seats. Voting is complete in a majority of congressional districts.
Ballots are ready to be counted in 14 more states, with nine Senate seats, 12 governorships and 111 House seats in play. Voting is complete in 80 percent of congressional districts.
Election night winds down as polls close in California, Idaho, Oregon and Washington, sealing the fates of four more Senate seats, three governorships and 69 House districts. Voting is complete in 99 percent of congressional districts.
8:30 p.m.
Polls close in Arkansas, where Republicans are poised to unseat Democratic Sen. Blanche Lincoln as well as pick up two open House seats held by Democrats.
10 p.m.
Polls close in five states, deciding 15 more House seats. All but Montana have contests for Senate and governor.
Midnight
Most polls close in Alaska and Hawaii, bringing the 2010 midterms to an end for all but 232 voters in Alaska’s 37th District who have until
1 a.m. to vote.
House Senate Governor
435 TOTAL
37 37
*New York has a special Senate election 7:30 p.m. 7 p.m. 8 p.m. 9 p.m. 8:30 p.m. 10 p.m. 11 p.m. Midnight
SENATE: Open contests in Kentucky and West Virginia could go either way, with Rand Paul (R) and Jack Conway (D) competing to fill retiring Kentucky GOP Sen. Jim Bunning’s seat and West Virginia Gov. Joe Manchin III (D) and John Raese (R) battling over the seat held by the late Sen. Robert C. Byrd (D).
GOVERNOR: Keep an eye on South Carolina, where Nikki Haley’s edge over Democrat Vincent Sheheen has narrowed. In Ohio, Gov. Ted Strickland (D) is at risk of losing his job to former representative John Kasich (R).
HOUSE: Vulnerable Democratic incumbents include Reps. Jim Marshall (Ga.), John M. Spratt Jr. (S.C.), Glenn Nye (Va.), Tom Perriello (Va.), Baron P. Hill (Ind.), John Boccieri (Ohio), Mary Jo Kilroy (Ohio) and Steve Driehaus (Ohio). Te seat being vacated by Rep. Brad Ellsworth’s (D-Ind.) is competitive, as is the open seat in West Virginia’s 1st Congressional District.
Percentage of races with polls closed
100% House results by hour 11%
complete by 7 p.m.
18% complete by 7:30 p.m. 54%
complete by 8 p.m.
NOTE: Listed closing times are the latest poll closings in the state. Certain states, including Indiana, Kentucky, Florida, New Hampshire and Texas, have multiple poll-closing times and might release district-level results at earlier points. No statewide results are released before all polls close in a state. THE WASHINGTON POST
SENATE: Democrats are trying to hang on to their seats in Pennsylvania and Illinois, where Republican Pat Toomey holds a narrow lead to replace Sen. Arlen Specter (D-Pa.) and Rep. Mark Steven Kirk (R-Ill.) could take the seat once held by President Obama.
GOVERNOR: Watch for tight open races in Florida and Maine and Democratic incumbents defending their jobs in Illinois, Massachusetts and New Hampshire.
HOUSE: Vulnerable Democratic freshmen include Reps. Bobby N. Bright (Ala.), Bill Foster (Ill.), Debbie Halvorson (Ill.), Frank M. Kratovil Jr. (Md.), Mark Schauer (Mich.), Travis Childers (Miss.), Kathy Dahlkemper (Pa.), Alan Grayson (Fla.) and Suzanne Kosmas (Fla.).
ALSO AT THIS HOUR: Losses likely for GOP Senate candidates Christine O’Donnell (Del.) and Linda McMahon (Conn.).
SENATE: Tree-term Sen. Russell Feingold (D-Wis.) will try to hold back millionaire GOP challenger Ron Johnson. And Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Colo.), appointed when Ken Salazar was named interior secretary, is in one of the closest Senate races in the country against tea party favorite Ken Buck.
GOVERNOR: Te three-way contest in Rhode Island is tight. Former GOP senator Lincoln Chafee, running as an independent, is the narrow favorite. In Texas, Gov. Rick Perry (R) faces a challenge from former Houston mayor Bill White. And former senator Mark Dayton (R) and state Rep. Tom Emmer (D) are vying to fill the opening leſt by GOP Gov. Tim Pawlenty’s retirement.
HOUSE: Democratic Reps. Betsy Markey (Colo.), Michael Arcuri (N.Y.), Earl Pomeroy (N.D.), Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (S.D.), Steve Kagen (Wis.) and Chet Edwards (Tex.) face well-financed challenges. Republican Sean Duffy of MTV’s “Real World” fame is running against state Sen. Julie Lassa (D) to succeed retiring Rep. David R. Obey (D-Wis.).
ALSO AT THIS HOUR: Andrew Cuomo is poised to beat tea-party-backed businessman Carl Paladino for N.Y. governor.
99% 80%
complete by 9 p.m.
83%
complete by 10 p.m.
complete by 11 p.m.
100% complete by midnight
SENATE: Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (D) is locked in a tight race with tea party favorite Sharron Angle; A Reid’s defeat would be the most momentous result of the night.
GOVERNOR: Nevada Republican Brian Sandoval holds a comfortable lead over Democrat Rory Reid, Harry Reid’s son. Republicans are expected to hold on to governorships in Utah and Arizona.
HOUSE: Vulnerable Arizona Democrats include Reps. Ann Kirkpatrick, Harry E. Mitchell, Paul M. Grijalva and Gabrielle Giffords. Nevada freshman Democratic Rep. Dina Titus is struggling against former state senator Joe Heck.
SENATE: At this hour, two Democratic incumbents are fighting to keep their jobs. Sen. Barbara Boxer of California is up against former Hewlett-Packard chief executive Carly Fiorina, and Sen. Patty Murray of Washington fends off a challenge from Dino Rossi.
GOVERNOR: Democrat Jerry Brown faces former eBay executive Meg Whitman in his quest for a second tenure in the California governor’s mansion. Former Oregon governor John Kitzhaber (D) is in a dead heat with Republican Chris Dudley, a one time Portland Trail Blazer.
HOUSE: Two-term Rep. Jerry McNerney (D-Calif.) is even in polls with lawyer David Harmer. Democratic Reps. Dennis Cardoza and Jim Costa are also in tight races in California. And Republicans hope to take Washington’s 3rd District, held by retiring Democrat Brian Baird.
SENATE: Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski is running as a write-in candidate aſter losing to tea-party-backed conservative Joe Miller in Alaska’s GOP primary. If she wins, she’ll become only the second write-in candidate to win election to the Senate, aſter Strom Turmond (R-S.C.) in 1954. Scott McAdams, the little-known mayor of Sitka, is running as a Democrat.
GOVERNOR: In Hawaii, former representative Neil Abercrombie (D) is favored to defeat Republican Lt. Gov. Duke Aiona.
HOUSE: Hawaii’s most contested race is for Abercrombie’s former seat. Rep. Charles Djou (R), who won a special election in May, is running even with state Senate President Colleen Hanabusa (D).
Vermont
South Carolina Kentucky Indiana Virginia Georgia
West Virginia
North Carolina Ohio
Delaware Maine
New Hampshire Mississippi Connecticut Oklahoma Alabama Maryland Missouri
Tennessee
Massachusetts New Jersey Michigan Illinois
Pennsylvania Florida
Arkansas
North Dakota South Dakota Wyoming
Rhode Island Nebraska New Mexico Kansas Iowa
Colorado
Louisiana Minnesota Wisconsin New York* Texas
Montana Nevada Utah
Arizona Idaho
Oregon
Washington California
Alaska Hawaii
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