Towards a green economy 2015 1% case

Economic sector Real GDP

GDP per capita

Agriculture production *

Crop

Fishery Forestry Livestock

Industry production

Services production

Social sector Total population Calories per capita

Population below $2/day

HDI

Total employment

Agriculture Industry Services Fisheries Forestry

Transport Energy Waste Water

Environmental sector Forest land Arable land

Harvested area Water demand

Waste generation

Total landfill

Fossil fuel CO2 emissions

Footprint/ biocapacity

Primary energy demand

Coal production Oil production

Natural gas production

Nuclear power Hydro power

Biomass and waste

Other renewables

RE share of primary demand

-0.3 -0.3

-0.1 0.6

-27.6 3.0 0.0

0.3 -0.6

0.0 0.2

0.3 0.0 0.4 2.5

-0.4 -0.6

-27.6 3.2 6.0 0.1 0.8

-3.5 1.3

-1.1 -0.3 -3.5

0.8

-5.3 -3.9

-5.0 -2.0

-3.0 -5.2

-1.6 1.6

0.1 6.7

4.9 7.5

2% case

-0.8 -0.8

0.5 2.1

-26.1 3.0 0.0

-0.1 -1.0

0.0 0.3

0.7 0.0 0.6 3.9

-0.9 -1.0

-26.1 3.2 5.5 6.8 1.2

-3.7 1.4

-1.1 -0.3 -3.7

1.2

-4.9 -8.4

-7.5 -3.1

-7.0 -9.2

-3.2 5.0

0.3

21.2 15.2 20.5

1% case

-0.1 -0.1

3.9 1.7

-27.1 12.5 0.0

1.1 -0.6

0.0 0.3

0.1 0.2

-0.2 2.5

-1.3 -1.7

-27.1 12.7 7.5

-3.1 1.4

-7.1 3.2

-2.6 -0.7 -7.1

1.4

-15.6 -9.1

-7.1 -5.4

-8.5

-10.1 -3.9 3.2

0.2 7.2

8.7 12.4 2020 2% case

-0.4 -0.4

4.7 3.6

-23.9 12.5 0.0

0.9 -0.9

0.0 0.3

0.4 0.3

-0.6 3.7

-2.5 -2.9

-23.9 12.7 6.7 3.2 1.9

-7.2 3.3

-2.6 -0.7 -7.2

1.9

-15.1 -18.2

-12.5 -9.1

-16.4 -18.4

-8.5 10.0

0.6

23.4 27.3 32.5

and G2 scenario relative to BAU2 scenario (2 per cent case) * Note: Agriculture production includes production of crops, livestock, fisheries and forestry products.

1% case

1.4 1.2

5.5 2.6

-15.9 14.4 0.2

3.6 0.6

0.2 0.9

-1.3 0.9

-0.7 1.5

-1.8 -2.1

-15.9 14.6 10.1 -5.9 2.7

-13.7 7.9

-5.8 -1.7

-13.7 2.7

-39.0 -16.5

-12.8 -13.2

-24.3 -18.0

-8.3 5.9

0.3 7.9

13.8 24.3

2030 2% case

2.7 2.4

6.7 5.2

-7.6 14.4 0.3

4.9 2.0

0.3 1.4

-2.4 1.5

-1.5 1.6

-3.3 -3.5 -7.6 14.6 10.0 4.8 3.6

-13.2 8.1

-5.8 -1.6

-13.2 3.6

-38.3 -31.6

-21.5 -19.6

-35.1 -30.7

-18.6 19.0

1.0

27.4 44.7 57.5

1% case

6.3 5.6

9.0 4.9

17.8 19.4 0.7

9.9 5.2

0.7 1.9

-6.0 2.5 0.5 2.4

-1.2 0.0

17.8 19.8 3.0

-6.3 6.8

-25.2 21.1

-11.4 -3.8

-25.2 6.8

-87.6 -44.2

-37.8 -30.8

-64.4 -24.1

-16.1 8.3

0.4

10.6 15.2 58.7

2050 2% case

15.7 13.9

11.4 9.0

47.5 19.5 1.6

18.8 14.9

1.6 3.4

-14.3 5.1 0.6 2.8

-2.4 -0.4 47.5 19.9 6.4

21.0 9.5

-21.6 21.2

-11.4 -3.7

-21.6 9.5

-87.2 -64.0

-47.9 -39.8

-74.2 -46.6

-35.2 37.8

1.8

36.4 69.9

129.1 Table 8: Comparison (per cent) of main indicators in G1 scenario relative to BAU1 scenario (1 per cent case),

536