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Modelling 2011 Unit
Economic sector Real GDP
GDP per capita
Agriculture production * Crop
Fishery Forestry Livestock
Industry production
Services production
Consumption Investment
Additional investment
Social sector Total population Calories per capita
Population below $2/day HDI
Total employment
Agriculture Industry Services Fisheries Forestry
Transport Energy Waste Water
Environmental sector Forest land Arable land
Harvested area Water demand
Waste generation Total landfill
Fossil fuel CO2
Footprint/ biocapacity
Primary energy demand Coal production Oil production
Natural gas production Nuclear power Hydro power
Biomass and waste Other renewables
emissions
US$ bn/year US$ bn/year US$ bn/year US$ bn/year US$ bn/year US$ bn/year US$ bn/year
US$ bn/year
US$ bn/year US$ bn/year
US$ bn/year US$ bn/year
billion people Kcal/P/D %
Unit Index
Mn people Mn people
Mn people Mn people Mn people Mn people Mn people Mn people Mn people Mn people
billion ha billion ha billion ha km3/Yr
Mtonne/Yr
billion Tonnes Mtonne/Yr
Ratio
Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year
RE share of primary demand % BAU
69,334 9,992 1,921 629 106 748 439
17,168
50,245 53,368
15,966 0
2,787 19.5% 0.594 BAU
0.594 3,187 1,075
662
1,260 29 21 70 19 20 31
3.9 1.6
1.20 4,864
11,238 8
30,641 1.5
12,549 3,620 3,838 2,715 755 257
1,077 286
13% BAU1
116,100 14,182 2,259 786 83
803 588
27,629
86,212 89,364
27,872 1,137
2,973 14%
0.630
BAU1 0.630
4,137 1,331
923
1,663 23 23 89 19 22 43
3.8 1.6
1.27 6,735
12,445 10
42,669 1.8
17,407 5,447 4,910 3,901 968 373
1,341 467
13% BAU2
119,307 14,577 2,268 795 83
803 588
28,311
88,727 91,833
29,808 2,334
3,050 14%
0.633
BAU2 0.633
4,204 1,371
931
1,680 23 23 90 19 22 44
3.8 1.6
1.27 6,784
12,499 10
43,785 1.8
17,755 5,636 5,019 3,951 968 373
1,342 467
12% 2030 BAU
110,642 13,512 2,219 752 75
803 588
26,831
81,592 85,163
25,479 0
2,840 15%
0.626 BAU
0.626 4,057 1,284
915
1,643 21 23 87 19 22 43
3.8 1.6
1.27 6,668
12,342 10
40,835 1.8
16,832 5,143 4,726 3,816 968 373
1,339 467
13% G1
117,739 14,358 2,383 806 69
918 589
28,614
86,742 90,626
27,401 1,150
3,001 14%
0.635 G1
0.635 4,108 1,351
907
1,629 19 26
100 18 22 37
4.1 1.5
1.25 5,810
12,785 6
35,635 1.6
15,107 4,126 4,026 3,578 1,024 374
1,447 532
16% G2
122,582 14,926 2,421 836 76
918 590
29,692
90,469 94,354
28,825 2,388
3,093 13%
0.643 G2
0.643 4,143 1,393
900
1,622 21 26 98 20 23 38
4.1 1.5
1.25 5,889
12,946 6
29,967 1.4
14,269 3,660 3,478 3,218 1,151 377
1,709 676
19% BAU1
164,484 18,594 2,545 898 61
870 716
37,738
124,201 126,606
39,493 1,616
3,178 10%
0.671
BAU1 0.671
4,739 1,580
1,064 1,837 17 25 99 19 24 43
3.7 1.6
1.31 8,320
13,400 12
53,703 2.2
21,044 7,512 4,968 4,906 1,089 459
1,525 584
12% BAU2
172,049 19,476 2,559 913 61
870 715
39,218
130,272 132,429
42,996 3,377
3,273 10%
0.680
BAU2 0.680
4,836 1,656
1,067 1,851 17 25
120 19 24 44
3.7 1.6
1.31 8,434
13,505 12
55,684 2.2
21,687 7,930 5,102 5,000 1,089 459
1,524 584
12% 2050 BAU
151,322 17,068 2,494 849 57
870 718
35,571
113,258 116,476
34,847 0
2,981 11%
0.663 BAU
0.663 4,613 1,489
1,059 1,813 16 25
122 19 23 43
3.7 1.6
1.31 8,141
13,201 12
49,679 2.1
19,733 6,602 4,727 4,744 1,089 459
1,528 584
13%
Table 7: Main indicators in BAU and green investment scenarios (continued) * Note: Agriculture production includes production of crops, livestock, fisheries and forestry products. All monetary values are presented in constant 2010 US dollars.
G1
174,890 19,626 2,773 941 72
1,038 721
41,455
130,661 134,616
40,704 1,719
3,238 10%
0.688 G1
0.688 4,762 1,618
1,051 1,836 20 30
117 18 25 43
4.5 1.5
1.26 6,220
14,305 1
29,943 1.4
14,562 2,677 3,770 4,114 1,179 461
1,687 673
19% G2
199,141 22,193 2,852 996 91
1,039 726
46,588
149,701 153,282
46,831 3,889
3,382 8%
0.714 G2
0.714 4,864 1,703
1,042 1,843 25 30
130 23 26 44
4.5 1.5
1.26 6,611
14,783 2
20,039 1.2
13,051 2,049 2,724 3,239 1,500 467
2,079 992
27%
535