Modelling 2011 Unit


Economic sector Real GDP


GDP per capita


Agriculture production * Crop


Fishery Forestry Livestock


Industry production


Services production


Consumption Investment


Additional investment


Social sector Total population Calories per capita


Population below $2/day HDI


Total employment


Agriculture Industry Services Fisheries Forestry


Transport Energy Waste Water


Environmental sector Forest land Arable land


Harvested area Water demand


Waste generation Total landfill


Fossil fuel CO2


Footprint/ biocapacity


Primary energy demand Coal production Oil production


Natural gas production Nuclear power Hydro power


Biomass and waste Other renewables


emissions


US$ bn/year US$ bn/year US$ bn/year US$ bn/year US$ bn/year US$ bn/year US$ bn/year


US$ bn/year


US$ bn/year US$ bn/year


US$ bn/year US$ bn/year


billion people Kcal/P/D %


Unit Index


Mn people Mn people


Mn people Mn people Mn people Mn people Mn people Mn people Mn people Mn people


billion ha billion ha billion ha km3/Yr


Mtonne/Yr


billion Tonnes Mtonne/Yr


Ratio


Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year Mtoe/year


RE share of primary demand % BAU


69,334 9,992 1,921 629 106 748 439


17,168


50,245 53,368


15,966 0


2,787 19.5% 0.594 BAU


0.594 3,187 1,075


662


1,260 29 21 70 19 20 31


3.9 1.6


1.20 4,864


11,238 8


30,641 1.5


12,549 3,620 3,838 2,715 755 257


1,077 286


13% BAU1


116,100 14,182 2,259 786 83


803 588


27,629


86,212 89,364


27,872 1,137


2,973 14%


0.630


BAU1 0.630


4,137 1,331


923


1,663 23 23 89 19 22 43


3.8 1.6


1.27 6,735


12,445 10


42,669 1.8


17,407 5,447 4,910 3,901 968 373


1,341 467


13% BAU2


119,307 14,577 2,268 795 83


803 588


28,311


88,727 91,833


29,808 2,334


3,050 14%


0.633


BAU2 0.633


4,204 1,371


931


1,680 23 23 90 19 22 44


3.8 1.6


1.27 6,784


12,499 10


43,785 1.8


17,755 5,636 5,019 3,951 968 373


1,342 467


12% 2030 BAU


110,642 13,512 2,219 752 75


803 588


26,831


81,592 85,163


25,479 0


2,840 15%


0.626 BAU


0.626 4,057 1,284


915


1,643 21 23 87 19 22 43


3.8 1.6


1.27 6,668


12,342 10


40,835 1.8


16,832 5,143 4,726 3,816 968 373


1,339 467


13% G1


117,739 14,358 2,383 806 69


918 589


28,614


86,742 90,626


27,401 1,150


3,001 14%


0.635 G1


0.635 4,108 1,351


907


1,629 19 26


100 18 22 37


4.1 1.5


1.25 5,810


12,785 6


35,635 1.6


15,107 4,126 4,026 3,578 1,024 374


1,447 532


16% G2


122,582 14,926 2,421 836 76


918 590


29,692


90,469 94,354


28,825 2,388


3,093 13%


0.643 G2


0.643 4,143 1,393


900


1,622 21 26 98 20 23 38


4.1 1.5


1.25 5,889


12,946 6


29,967 1.4


14,269 3,660 3,478 3,218 1,151 377


1,709 676


19% BAU1


164,484 18,594 2,545 898 61


870 716


37,738


124,201 126,606


39,493 1,616


3,178 10%


0.671


BAU1 0.671


4,739 1,580


1,064 1,837 17 25 99 19 24 43


3.7 1.6


1.31 8,320


13,400 12


53,703 2.2


21,044 7,512 4,968 4,906 1,089 459


1,525 584


12% BAU2


172,049 19,476 2,559 913 61


870 715


39,218


130,272 132,429


42,996 3,377


3,273 10%


0.680


BAU2 0.680


4,836 1,656


1,067 1,851 17 25


120 19 24 44


3.7 1.6


1.31 8,434


13,505 12


55,684 2.2


21,687 7,930 5,102 5,000 1,089 459


1,524 584


12% 2050 BAU


151,322 17,068 2,494 849 57


870 718


35,571


113,258 116,476


34,847 0


2,981 11%


0.663 BAU


0.663 4,613 1,489


1,059 1,813 16 25


122 19 23 43


3.7 1.6


1.31 8,141


13,201 12


49,679 2.1


19,733 6,602 4,727 4,744 1,089 459


1,528 584


13%


Table 7: Main indicators in BAU and green investment scenarios (continued) * Note: Agriculture production includes production of crops, livestock, fisheries and forestry products. All monetary values are presented in constant 2010 US dollars.


G1


174,890 19,626 2,773 941 72


1,038 721


41,455


130,661 134,616


40,704 1,719


3,238 10%


0.688 G1


0.688 4,762 1,618


1,051 1,836 20 30


117 18 25 43


4.5 1.5


1.26 6,220


14,305 1


29,943 1.4


14,562 2,677 3,770 4,114 1,179 461


1,687 673


19% G2


199,141 22,193 2,852 996 91


1,039 726


46,588


149,701 153,282


46,831 3,889


3,382 8%


0.714 G2


0.714 4,864 1,703


1,042 1,843 25 30


130 23 26 44


4.5 1.5


1.26 6,611


14,783 2


20,039 1.2


13,051 2,049 2,724 3,239 1,500 467


2,079 992


27%


535


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