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Towards a green economy 2015 1% case


Economic sector Real GDP


GDP per capita


Agriculture production *


Crop


Fishery Forestry Livestock


Industry production


Services production


Social sector Total population Calories per capita


Population below $2/day


HDI


Total employment


Agriculture Industry Services Fisheries Forestry


Transport Energy Waste Water


Environmental sector Forest land Arable land


Harvested area Water demand


Waste generation


Total landfill


Fossil fuel CO2 emissions


Footprint/ biocapacity


Primary energy demand


Coal production Oil production


Natural gas production


Nuclear power Hydro power


Biomass and waste


Other renewables


RE share of primary demand


-0.3 -0.3


-0.1 0.6


-27.6 3.0 0.0


0.3 -0.6


0.0 0.2


0.3 0.0 0.4 2.5


-0.4 -0.6


-27.6 3.2 6.0 0.1 0.8


-3.5 1.3


-1.1 -0.3 -3.5


0.8


-5.3 -3.9


-5.0 -2.0


-3.0 -5.2


-1.6 1.6


0.1 6.7


4.9 7.5


2% case


-0.8 -0.8


0.5 2.1


-26.1 3.0 0.0


-0.1 -1.0


0.0 0.3


0.7 0.0 0.6 3.9


-0.9 -1.0


-26.1 3.2 5.5 6.8 1.2


-3.7 1.4


-1.1 -0.3 -3.7


1.2


-4.9 -8.4


-7.5 -3.1


-7.0 -9.2


-3.2 5.0


0.3


21.2 15.2 20.5


1% case


-0.1 -0.1


3.9 1.7


-27.1 12.5 0.0


1.1 -0.6


0.0 0.3


0.1 0.2


-0.2 2.5


-1.3 -1.7


-27.1 12.7 7.5


-3.1 1.4


-7.1 3.2


-2.6 -0.7 -7.1


1.4


-15.6 -9.1


-7.1 -5.4


-8.5


-10.1 -3.9 3.2


0.2 7.2


8.7 12.4 2020 2% case


-0.4 -0.4


4.7 3.6


-23.9 12.5 0.0


0.9 -0.9


0.0 0.3


0.4 0.3


-0.6 3.7


-2.5 -2.9


-23.9 12.7 6.7 3.2 1.9


-7.2 3.3


-2.6 -0.7 -7.2


1.9


-15.1 -18.2


-12.5 -9.1


-16.4 -18.4


-8.5 10.0


0.6


23.4 27.3 32.5


and G2 scenario relative to BAU2 scenario (2 per cent case) * Note: Agriculture production includes production of crops, livestock, fisheries and forestry products.


1% case


1.4 1.2


5.5 2.6


-15.9 14.4 0.2


3.6 0.6


0.2 0.9


-1.3 0.9


-0.7 1.5


-1.8 -2.1


-15.9 14.6 10.1 -5.9 2.7


-13.7 7.9


-5.8 -1.7


-13.7 2.7


-39.0 -16.5


-12.8 -13.2


-24.3 -18.0


-8.3 5.9


0.3 7.9


13.8 24.3


2030 2% case


2.7 2.4


6.7 5.2


-7.6 14.4 0.3


4.9 2.0


0.3 1.4


-2.4 1.5


-1.5 1.6


-3.3 -3.5 -7.6 14.6 10.0 4.8 3.6


-13.2 8.1


-5.8 -1.6


-13.2 3.6


-38.3 -31.6


-21.5 -19.6


-35.1 -30.7


-18.6 19.0


1.0


27.4 44.7 57.5


1% case


6.3 5.6


9.0 4.9


17.8 19.4 0.7


9.9 5.2


0.7 1.9


-6.0 2.5 0.5 2.4


-1.2 0.0


17.8 19.8 3.0


-6.3 6.8


-25.2 21.1


-11.4 -3.8


-25.2 6.8


-87.6 -44.2


-37.8 -30.8


-64.4 -24.1


-16.1 8.3


0.4


10.6 15.2 58.7


2050 2% case


15.7 13.9


11.4 9.0


47.5 19.5 1.6


18.8 14.9


1.6 3.4


-14.3 5.1 0.6 2.8


-2.4 -0.4 47.5 19.9 6.4


21.0 9.5


-21.6 21.2


-11.4 -3.7


-21.6 9.5


-87.2 -64.0


-47.9 -39.8


-74.2 -46.6


-35.2 37.8


1.8


36.4 69.9


129.1 Table 8: Comparison (per cent) of main indicators in G1 scenario relative to BAU1 scenario (1 per cent case),


536


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