Opening time
Two new airports are due to open in Poland in the next two years. Tony Griffi ths takes a closer look at the country’s air services market and where the opportunities lie.
P 42
oland is in a unique position in Europe. While other European countries are contending with tensions between local
communities that are hostile to any sort of airport development and governments that are trying to accommodate forecasted levels of air traffi c, Poland is on the brink of adding real capacity to its air traffi c system by opening two new airports.
Of course, Poland is different from many other European countries, not least of all in terms of what has been happening with air travel. Poland had been putting in place measures to open its economy for some time, but it was EU
accession in May 2004 that was the catalyst for a huge increase in air travel to and from Poland. Freedom of movement for goods, labour, capital and services all had implications for scheduled and charter air services. By 2010, the number of passengers passing through Polish airports was 20.6 million, up from 10 million just fi ve years earlier. This was despite Poland suffering its share of economic doldrums in 2009.
EU accession gave the Polish economy a vital stimulus that has remained in place to this day. As the graph opposite shows, growth in real
GDP in Poland has been a consistent three percentage points above the average for the 27 EU countries. With air traffi c demand widely accepted as a link to economic growth, it is hardly surprising that Poland has seen traffi c growth well above European averages. This growth is expected to continue, with the Polish CAA forecasting that the number of passengers passing through Polish airports will continue growing at an average rate of 6.4% per annum for the next 10 years, and at 4.4% per annum thereafter until 2030. By then, the Polish market is expected to have reached around 75 million passengers.
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