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Section 7 • Occupancy 


 





2011 Q4 2012 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2013 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2014 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2015 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2018 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1


2020 Q2 Sources: 2019 Almanac and Radius+ 


82.1% 82.4% 85.0% 85.8% 85.0% 85.3% 87.8% 87.4% 86.5% 86.6% 89.1% 88.7% 88.0% 88.2% 90.2% 89.6% 88.8% 89.1% 91.2% 92.2% 90.7% 90.3% 92.8% 89.7% 88.0% 87.7% 91.7% 91.5% 90.2% 90.1% 91.0% 91.5% 90.5% 89.9%


92.2%


Dixon, Universal’s COO, says “serious lease-up issues” are coming in the industry because of new product hitting the market. Projected rents have decreased by 20 percent to 30 percent in all markets, increasing the need to use promotions.


“Those coming into the industry had better do more homework and beef up their lease-


up cash requirements,” Dixon says. According to Ross, the big REITs “are finally doing the smart thing” by increasing rates


even in highly competitive markets, though he doubts that will continue. Spending on pay- per-click Google advertising has risen probably more than 40 percent in 2020 to attract new customers, and he and Dixon expect that to continue.


Though new development generally slowed in March and April because of required


social distancing’s effects on construction, the Southeast has been less affected thanks to fewer pandemic-related regulations, says Chris Nebenzahl, director of Yardi Matrix. Construc- tion rebounded to pre-pandemic levels starting in May. Yardi Matrix forecasts a roughly one percent slowdown in 2020 deliveries compared to its pre-pandemic first-quarter forecast for the year.


Nebenzahl says self-storage’s outperformance in the past six months makes him optimis- tic for improvements in rates and occupancy in 2021, which “should be a pretty good year for storage.”


  Midwest (East North Central)


  91.0%


Midwest (West North Central) 89.6% Northeast (Middle Atlantic) Northeast (New England) South Atlantic


South (East South Central) South (West South Central) West (Mountain) West (Pacific) 


* Based on 2nd Quarter Numbers


90.9% 89.3% 90.7% 90.4% 89.8% 91.4% 92.1% 


90.4% 91.1% 90.8% 89.9% 90.6% 90.4% 90.2% 92.3% 92.3% 


Source: Radius+


National Occupancy Rates The numbers in Table 7.1 on page 59 are based on Q2 num- bers between 1987 and 2020. The data show occupancy was 92.2 percent in 2020, up 1.2 percent from 91 percent in 2019. This follows a 0.7 percent decrease from Q2 2018 to Q2 2019. Both quarters decreased from Q2


2017, which was at 92.8 percent. In 2016 and 2015, occupancy numbers exceeded 90 percent and were the highest percentage figures going back to 1987, which were mostly in the 80s and in several instances in the 70s.


Digging deeper into the quar-


terly numbers in Table 7.2, Q2 2018 through Q2 2020 had 90-plus percentages, excluding Q1 2020, which was 89.9 percent. Q3 2017 through Q1 2018 showed high 80s. Percentages were 90-plus from Q2 2016 through Q2 2017. Overall, the


60 Self-Storage Almanac 2021


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