POLYMER DEMAND IN AFRICA An AMI Consulting Data Report
Fibre Extrusion
Film Extrusion
Injection Moulding
Section 6 Fibre and Raffia Extrusion
Fibre and raffia production by country Units: 000 Tonnes
2012
NORTH AFRICA Egypt
Morocco Tunisia Algeria Libya Other
Sub-total
SOUTH & CENTRAL AFRICA South Africa Angola
D.R. Congo Zambia
Mozambique Zimbabwe Other
Sub-total
WEST AFRICA Nigeria Ghana
Cameroon Ivory Coast Senegal Other
Blow Moulding
Sub-total
EAST AFRICA Kenya
Tanzania Ethiopia Uganda Other
Sub-total TOTAL
89.4 33.6 34.2 57.1 3.0
13.5 230.8
120.2 14.3 14.3 17.4 6.0 5.9 7.8
186.0
106.6 15.8 13.0 12.1 7.0
10.7 165.2
34.2 24.7 19.1 8.9 3.6
90.4 672.4 2013
91.0 35.7 35.0 58.4 2.7
14.5 237.3
124.1 15.1 16.1 19.1 6.7 6.0 8.4
195.3
116.3 16.8 13.7 13.5 7.4
11.4 179.1
36.9 27.0 21.7 9.4 3.8
98.8 710.5 2014
92.6 37.3 35.9 60.9 2.5
15.6 244.9
128.9 16.0 17.7 21.2 7.3 6.2 9.1
206.4
127.3 17.5 14.4 14.8 7.7
12.3 194.1
Sheet Extrusion
39.9 29.1 23.4 10.0 4.1
106.5 751.8
13.4% 6.0% 7.2% 9.2%
5.7% 105 Polymer Demand in Africa CAGR 2012-2013 CAGR 2013-2014
1.8% 6.2% 2.3% 2.3%
-10.0% 7.2% 2.8%
3.2% 5.3%
12.2% 9.5%
10.4% 1.9% 7.2% 5.0%
9.1% 6.5% 5.4%
11.6% 4.8% 7.2% 8.4%
8.1% 9.1%
1.8% 4.5% 2.6% 4.4% -9.3% 8.0% 3.2%
3.9% 6.2%
10.2% 11.4% 9.2% 3.4% 8.0% 5.6%
9.4% 4.3% 4.8% 9.7% 5.0% 8.0% 8.3%
8.2% 7.8% 8.1% 5.6% 8.0% 7.8%
5.8%
Pipe/ profi le Extrusion
Engineering Polymers
PET LDPE PP Section 5
Producers of PP Units: 000 Tonnes
Sasol Polymers Sasol Polymers Safripol (Pty) Ltd.
Indorama Eleme Petrochemical Ltd (IEPL) Dangote Group
Oriental Petrochemicals Company (OPC) Egyptian Propylene and Polypropylene (EPPC)
LLDPE Location
Secunda, South Africa Secunda, South Africa Sasolburg, South Africa Port Harcourt, Nigeria
OKNLF Free Trade Zone, Nigeria Sokhna, Egypt Port Said, Egypt
Location of PP production in Africa
Capacity 2013 220 300 110 120
(160) 400
Capacity 2018 220 300 110 120
600-800 (160) 400
PS/EPS ABS
HDPE PVC PP Algeria Angola Uganda Section 7 Cameroon
D.R. Congo Egypt
Polymer Demand in Africa 54
Uganda Economic Indicators Indicator
Population (millions)
Polymer consumption (000 tonnes) Per capita consumption (kg/head) Nominal GDP ($ bn)
Per capita GDP (000 U.S. $) GDP Growth (annual % change) Consumer Price Inflation (%)
Headlines
• Total polymer demand in 2013 came to 81,000 tonnes accounting for just over 1% of the total African demand but 8.5% of the East African region.
Ethiopia Ghana Ivory Coast
Included in this report: • Detailed demand analysis by polymer and by country • The nature of processing carried out in each country • Country profi les with key facts, trends and stastics • Identifi cation of where the best growth opportunities are
AMI CONSULTING
www.amiplastics.com
• The market is small in terms of size but the number of plastic converters being set up in the country is growing fast in part driven by tax rebates on machinery and raw materials.
• Uganda exports some of it plastic products to countries such as D.R. Congo, South Sudan, Rwanda and Burundi. However, the South Sudan conflict caused significant losses to Ugandan manufacturers because of the spoilage of goods meant for that market.
• The plastics industry in Uganda is characterised by a handful of big scale manufacturing companies such as A K Plastics Limited (Mukwano group) or Nice House of Plastics and a large number of smaller companies. Most of these companies are located in Kampala, the capital, while the second and third highest densities of plastic converters is found in Eastern and Central Uganda respectively. AMI estimates that there are around 150 plastics processors in Uganda.
Kenya
• Rising local demand, especially in and around Kampala, for plastic household products, plastic bags, and toothbrushes among others has increased demand for PP and HDPE grades for injection moulding.
• Packaging has also grown fast, especially for soft drinks, the production of which has grown at an average of 12% annually since 2003. However, this has not translated into PET demand growth at the same rate as Uganda imports most of its plastic and packaging needs from regional and international suppliers.
Morocco
• After packaging, PVC pipes is the second highest end use in Uganda, demand for which has been boosted by a strong performance of the construction industry.
Libya
• Polymer demand is forecasted to grow at an average of 10% annually mainly driven by poverty reduction pushing plastic demand and import substitution. Also, improved power availability from the Bujagali Hydropower plant on the river Nile is expected to allow plastic converters to work more than 12 hours per day (their current limitation to avoid peak hours).
• The Chinese company Foton has announced that it will open Uganda’s first vehicle assembly plant. However, the potential for attracting moulding activities of technical parts will be seriously endangered by limited locally skilled labour and parts are more likely to be imported from Kenya.
Polymer Demand in Africa 192
2013 36.8 81.0 2.2
23.1 0.6 6.0 5.4
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Zimbabwe Zambia Uganda Tunisia
Nigeria Senegal South Africa Tanzania
Mozambique
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