Figure 2-4.
1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600
200 400 600 800
0 2015 2020 2025 2030 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013; International Data Base. 2035 2040 2045
Population Aged 65 and Over by Region: 2015 to 2050 Millions
Figure 2-4 Population Aged 65 and Over by Region: 2015 to 2050
Africa
Asia
of China to the Western model of disease prevention and management as well as hos- pital-based inpatient and outpatient rehab and other services there. In a separate panel addressing senior living’s international expan- sion during Argentum’s annual conference, Genesis President Dan Hirschfeld said Chi- na’s 60-plus population is expected to grow to 500 million by 2050 and in China, chronic disease accounts for 70 percent of healthcare costs. China shows a stark need for more health care professionals, he noted, adding that the Chinese Ministry of Health said Chi- na needs at least 300,000 health therapists. Dr. He pointed out that Europe is home to
Europe
Latin America and the Caribbean
North American/ Oceania
2050 Source: An Aging World: 2015, International Population Reports
Figure 2-5 Percentage Distribution of Population Aged 65 Figure 2-5. and Over by Region: 2015 to 2050
some of the oldest old, spurring firms such as Sunrise Senior Living with headquarters in Virginia, to branch out in the United Kingdom under the Sunrise and Gracewell Healthcare brands. Sunrise Senior V.P. of Sales Kelly Singleton Myers, a co-panelist with Hirschfeld, said there’s also a need in the U.K. for the senior living model, with a population of more than 1.5 million aged 85 and older and nearly 1 million people living with dementia. The world is aging. Dr. He’s research
Percentage Distribution of Population Aged 65 and Over by Region: 2015 and 2050
Northern America/ Oceania 9.5%
Latin America and the Caribbean 7.6%
Africa 6.6%
Northern America/ Oceania 6.6%
Latin America and the Caribbean 8.9%
Europe 12.6%
Europe 21.0%
Africa 9.6%
shows the percentage of the population age 65 and older in 2015 ranged from a high of 26.6 percent for Japan to a low of around 1 percent for Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. Europe is home to 22 of the world’s 25 oldest countries and areas in 2015. Japan is currently the oldest nation in the world and is expected to hold this spot at least through 2050. Global life expectancy at birth reached
Asia 53.3% 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013; International Data Base. Source: An Aging World: 2015, International Population Reports 2050 Asia 62.3%
68.6 years in 2015 – a female born today is expected to live 70.7 years on average and a male 66.6 years. The global life expectancy at birth is projected to increase almost eight years, reaching 76.2 years in 2050. North America currently has the highest
life expectancy at 79.9 years and is projected to continue to lead the world with an aver- age regional life expectancy of 84.1 years in 2050.
JULY/AUGUST 2016 / SENIOR LIVING EXECUTIVE 35
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