56 | Talking Timber: Softwood Prices
The market should learn to appreciate the value of softwood, says John Park SOFTWOOD … RESPECT!
It was, of course, when and not if; as I write this, following hot on the heels of ‘all-time high’ and ‘record-shattering’ are ‘record free fall’ and ‘plummeted’! Back to ‘normal’ shortly, I suppose. Email dated June 23 2021 with ‘Softwood Briefing from TTJ’ – the concluding paragraph: “In summary, irrespective of price corrections that might surface during the second half of the year, it would appear that softwood has finally achieved the
respect it deserves as a sought-after, low-carbon and renewable resource. But like all good things, it is taking longer to arrive.” (My italics).
I think it is safe to say that undercutting on price has been the business model favoured by the UK softwood trade. The consequence is that those ever-lower prices have become the accepted ‘norm’ for softwood in the UK with any price increase, however modest, received with various degrees of indignation amongst consumer sectors. But such was the recent price increase – and to such heights, indignation notwithstanding, that theft of wood is now seen as an alternative lucrative business model – that it is pictured in satirical cartoons replacing a diamond in an engagement ring and even BBC news editors felt it worthy of a mention, and on the ‘Today’ programme of all places. For some reason they didn’t mention sought-after, low-carbon and renewable resource. The TTJ briefing noted the increase in price, measured against the same time last year for July shipments, of 139% in sterling. I wonder what level of respect would have been engendered had the increase been on a par with western SPF on the North American market, which reached a ‘record high’ of US$1,630/1000fbm towards the end of May – that is plus 344% year-on-year? It went higher!
So where is the value and what has created that ‘respect’?
We know what has created that increase but the price ‘off the stump’ hadn’t changed – for example, in the UK from the Forest Research website: “The average price for coniferous standing sales was £31.03 per cubic metre over-bark standing in nominal terms in the year to March 2021, an increase from £28.22 in the year to March 2020”. Just short of 10%.
And I saw another article headed ‘What’s happened to lumber?’. And note where the concern lies. “Mystified by a 300% increase in the price of softwood, … design consultant, … ponders: ‘There are lots of trees out there, and there are lots of people to cut them down, and there are lots of people to process the lumber. So, I don’t really grasp this. Something’s gone wrong in terms of competition in the marketplace’.” Yes, I rather think it has, as well as that individual’s grasp of
TTJ | September/October 2021 |
www.ttjonline.com John Park is a
board member and immediate past chairman of the
WTS and manager of Canada Wood UK
reality given, for example, the BC Interior harvest has been reduced by 20% (that’s a lot of wood) and with a labour shortage production can’t just be increased at the drop of a hat, with longer term uncertainty following insect infestation and wildfires. And also, just at present, there is another old growth spat happening in British Columbia, with protestors wishing to preserve the dwindling old growth forest not set aside in reserves attracting global media interest, not to mention the celebrity bandwagon.
For most people, and all companies, along the supply chain, the value of and in softwood is profit, especially if you are trading wood on the futures market, not the fact that it’s a low-carbon, renewable resource, although sought-after it certainly is. On the other hand, building designers and their clients and major contractors are increasingly aware of that and along with corporate social responsibility comes the demand for wood from third-party certified sustainable forests, not a requirement in 1968 but now an additional cost for primary producers before even cutting a road, let alone a tree. For wood as a sought-after, low- carbon and renewable resource, is that added value or just added cost? Depends on your point of view, I guess.
Below: The BC Interior harvest has been reduced by 20%
But, the least anyone deriving a profit from wood could do is to learn as much about it as possible. From learning comes understanding. From understanding comes real respect. ■
Page 1 |
Page 2 |
Page 3 |
Page 4 |
Page 5 |
Page 6 |
Page 7 |
Page 8 |
Page 9 |
Page 10 |
Page 11 |
Page 12 |
Page 13 |
Page 14 |
Page 15 |
Page 16 |
Page 17 |
Page 18 |
Page 19 |
Page 20 |
Page 21 |
Page 22 |
Page 23 |
Page 24 |
Page 25 |
Page 26 |
Page 27 |
Page 28 |
Page 29 |
Page 30 |
Page 31 |
Page 32 |
Page 33 |
Page 34 |
Page 35 |
Page 36 |
Page 37 |
Page 38 |
Page 39 |
Page 40 |
Page 41 |
Page 42 |
Page 43 |
Page 44 |
Page 45 |
Page 46 |
Page 47 |
Page 48 |
Page 49 |
Page 50 |
Page 51 |
Page 52 |
Page 53 |
Page 54 |
Page 55 |
Page 56 |
Page 57 |
Page 58 |
Page 59 |
Page 60 |
Page 61 |
Page 62 |
Page 63 |
Page 64 |
Page 65 |
Page 66 |
Page 67 |
Page 68 |
Page 69 |
Page 70 |
Page 71 |
Page 72 |
Page 73 |
Page 74 |
Page 75 |
Page 76 |
Page 77 |
Page 78 |
Page 79 |
Page 80 |
Page 81 |
Page 82 |
Page 83 |
Page 84 |
Page 85 |
Page 86 |
Page 87 |
Page 88 |
Page 89 |
Page 90 |
Page 91 |
Page 92 |
Page 93 |
Page 94 |
Page 95 |
Page 96 |
Page 97