weather was replaced by the occasional icy blast, together with, on several occasions to which your correspondent can personally attest, downpours of hail. What effect this will have has on grass growth and forage quality
is difficult to judge at this stage. So far this year, the usual suspects have been relatively quiet as regards their findings on silage and forage prospects - more on this as the season progresses. However, an interesting article recently published says that scientists have found that plants growing in warmer conditions are tougher and have lower nutritional value to grazing livestock. This in turn can lower production output and increasing methane output.
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USDA UPDATE The United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) has updated its forecasts of world supply and demand for wheat, maize and soybean in 2016-17. It should be pointed out that this is the last update for the 2016-17 run and that, in May, USDA’s focus will shift to 2017-18. World wheat production, already at record levels, has been raised,
albeit slightly, by 283,000 tonnes to 751.36 million tonnes, mainly on a larger projected crop in Pakistan. Global consumption has been reduced, mainly on smaller US feed and residual use as implied by the latest NASS Grain Stocks report. Consequently, global end-of-season stocks, already forecast at a record high, are raised further to 252.26 million tonnes, equivalent to 124 DCE (Days Consumption Equivalent), equalling the DCE recorded in 2015-16 and the equal highest ratio of end-of-season stocks to consumption in fifteen years. For maize, however, USDA have incorporated a substantial upgrade on its March projection. Global maize production in 2016-17 has been raised to a new
record of 1,053.76 million tonnes with larger, record crops in both Argentina and Brazil. Production in the former country has been increased by a million tonnes or 2.7 per cent while production in the latter has been raised by 2 million tonnes or 2.2 per cent. The increase in Brazilian maize production is based primarily on a larger projected second crop area with the latest government data indicating a higher-than-expected expansion of the area sown to maize in both the Centre-West area and the North. The increase in Argentine maize production is predicated on the latest harvest results which are pointing to better-than-expected yields. USDA has also increased its projections of maize output in a number of other countries. These include Mexico, up by a million tonnes to a record 27 million
tonnes, and Indonesia, up by 700,000 tonnes to 10.9 million tonnes. Production of maize in South Africa is also increased by 400,000 tonnes to a total of 15 million tonnes; this follows the deleterious effects of the recent drought in that country which also affected much of the rest of southern Africa. This reflects a planted area of 3.1 million hectares, unchanged from last month and up 0.9 million hectares from last year. The forecast yield is 4.84 tonnes per hectare, up 30 per cent from last year and near the record yield of 4.85. The forecast
PAGE 10 MAY/JUNE 2017 FEED COMPOUNDER
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