MARKET RISK IN TRADING ACTIVITIES
The overall objective of TD’s trading businesses is to provide wholesale banking services, including facilitation and liquidity, to clients of the Bank. TD must take on risk in order to provide effective service in markets where its clients trade. In particular, the Bank needs to hold inventory, act as principal to facilitate client transactions, and underwrite new issues. The Bank also trades in order to have in-depth knowledge of market conditions to provide the most efficient and effective pricing and service to clients, while balancing the risks inherent in its dealing activities.
WHO MANAGES MARKET RISK IN TRADING ACTIVITIES Primary responsibility for managing market risk in trading activities lies with Wholesale Banking, with oversight from Market Risk Control within Risk Management. The Market Risk Control Committee meets regularly to conduct a review of the market risk profile, trading results of the Bank’s trading businesses as well as changes to market risk policies. The committee is chaired by the Senior Vice President, Market Risk, and includes Wholesale Banking senior management. There were no significant reclassifications between trading and non-trading books during the year ended October 31, 2016.
HOW TD MANAGES MARKET RISK IN TRADING ACTIVITIES Market risk plays a key part in the assessment of any trading business strategy. The Bank launches new trading initiatives or expands existing ones only if the risk has been thoroughly assessed, and is judged to be within the Bank’s risk appetite and business expertise, and if the appropriate infrastructure is in place to monitor, control, and manage the risk. The Trading Market Risk Framework outlines the management of trading market risk and incorporates risk appetite, risk governance structure, risk identification, measurement, and control. The Trading Market Risk Framework is maintained by Risk Management and supports alignment with TD’s Risk Appetite for trading market risk.
Trading Limits
The Bank sets trading limits that are consistent with the approved business strategy for each business and its tolerance for the associated market risk, aligned to its market risk appetite. In setting limits, the Bank takes into account market volatility, market liquidity, organizational experience, and business strategy. Limits are prescribed at the Wholesale Banking level in aggregate, as well as at more granular levels.
TOTAL VALUE-AT-RISK AND TRADING-RELATED REVENUE (millions of Canadian dollars)
$50 40
30 20 10 0
(10)
(20) (30) (40)
The core market risk limits are based on the key risk drivers in the business and includes notional, credit spread, yield curve shift, price, and volatility limits.
Another primary measure of trading limits is VaR, which the Bank uses to monitor and control overall risk levels and to calculate the regulatory capital required for market risk in trading activities. VaR measures the adverse impact that potential changes in market rates and prices could have on the value of a portfolio over a specified period of time.
At the end of each day, risk positions are compared with risk limits, and any excesses are reported in accordance with established market risk policies and procedures.
Calculating VaR
TD computes total VaR on a daily basis by combining the General Market Risk (GMR) and Idiosyncratic Debt Specific Risk (IDSR) associated with the Bank’s trading positions.
GMR is determined by creating a distribution of potential changes
in the market value of the current portfolio using historical simulation. The Bank values the current portfolio using the market price and rate changes of the most recent 259 trading days for equity, interest rate, foreign exchange, credit, and commodity products. GMR is computed as the threshold level that portfolio losses are not expected to exceed more than one out of every 100 trading days. A one-day holding period is used for GMR calculation, which is scaled up to ten days for regulatory capital calculation purposes.
IDSR measures idiosyncratic (single-name) credit spread risk for credit exposures in the trading portfolio using Monte Carlo simulation. The IDSR model is based on the historical behaviour of five-year idiosyncratic credit spreads. Similar to GMR, IDSR is computed as the threshold level that portfolio losses are not expected to exceed more than one out of every 100 trading days. IDSR is measured for a ten-day holding period.
The following graph discloses daily one-day VaR usage and trading- related revenue within Wholesale Banking. Trading-related revenue is the total of trading income reported in non-interest income and the net interest income on trading positions reported in net interest income, and is reported on a TEB. For the year ending October 31, 2016, there were 24 days of trading losses and trading-related revenue was positive for 91% of the trading days, reflecting normal trading activity. Losses in the year did not exceed VaR on any trading day.
Trading-related Revenue Total Value-at-Risk
TD BANK GROUP ANNUAL REPORT 2016 MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
83
Nov 2, 2015 Nov 9, 2015 Nov 16, 2015 Nov 23, 2015 Nov 30, 2015 Dec 7, 2015 Dec 14, 2015 Dec 21, 2015 Dec 28, 2015 Jan 4, 2016 Jan 11, 2016 Jan 18, 2016 Jan 25, 2016 Feb 1, 2016 Feb 8, 2016 Feb 15, 2016 Feb 22, 2016 Feb 29, 2016 Mar 7, 2016 Mar 14, 2016 Mar 21, 2016 Mar 28, 2016 Apr 4, 2016 Apr 11, 2016 Apr 18, 2016 Apr 25, 2016 May 2, 2016 May 9, 2016 May 16, 2016 May 23, 2016 May 30, 2016 Jun 6, 2016 Jun 13, 2016 Jun 20, 2016 Jun 27, 2016 Jul 4, 2016 Jul 11, 2016 Jul 18, 2016 Jul 25, 2016 Aug 1, 2016 Aug 8, 2016 Aug 15, 2016 Aug 22, 2016 Aug 29, 2016 Sep 5, 2016 Sep 12, 2016 Sep 19, 2016 Sep 26, 2016 Oct 3, 2016 Oct 10, 2016 Oct 17, 2016 Oct 24, 2016 Oct 31, 2016
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