VALUATION OF ASSETS AND LIABILITIES CLASSIFIED AS LEVEL 3 Significant unobservable inputs in Level 3 positions
The following section discusses the significant unobservable inputs for Level 3 positions and assesses the potential effect that a change in each unobservable input may have on the fair value measurement.
Price Equivalent
Certain financial instruments, mainly debt and equity securities, are valued using price equivalents when market prices are not available, with fair value measured by comparison with observable pricing data from instruments with similar characteristics. For debt securities, the price equivalent is expressed in ‘points’, and represents a percentage of the par amount, and prices at the lower end of the range are generally a result of securities that are written down. For equity securities, the price equivalent is based on a percentage of a proxy price. There may be wide ranges depending on the liquidity of the securities. New issuances of debt and equity securities are priced at 100% of the issue price.
Credit Spread
Credit spread is a significant input used in the valuation of many derivatives. It is the primary reflection of the creditworthiness of a counterparty and represents the premium or yield return above the benchmark reference that a bond holder would require in order to allow for the credit quality difference between the entity and the reference benchmark. An increase/(decrease) in credit spread will (decrease)/increase the value of financial instrument. Credit spread may be negative where the counterparty is more credit worthy than the benchmark against which the spread is calculated. A wider credit spread represents decreasing creditworthiness.
Prepayment Rate and Liquidation Rate
Expected future prepayment and liquidation rates are significant inputs for retained interests and represent the amount of unscheduled principal repayment. The prepayment rate and liquidation rate will be obtained from prepayment forecasts which are based on a number of factors such as historical prepayment rates for similar pool loans and the future economic outlook, considering factors including, but not limited to, future interest rates.
Correlation
The movements of inputs are not necessarily independent from other inputs. Such relationships, where material to the fair value of a given instrument, are captured via correlation inputs into the pricing models. The Bank includes correlation between the asset class, as well as across asset classes. For example, price correlation is the relationship between prices of equity securities in equity basket derivatives, and quanto correlation is the relationship between instruments which settle in one currency and the underlying securities which are denominated in another currency.
Implied Volatility
Implied volatility is the value of the volatility of the underlying instrument which, when input in an option pricing model, such as Black-Scholes, will return a theoretical value equal to the current market price of the option. Implied volatility is a forward-looking and subjective measure, and differs from historical volatility because the latter is calculated from known past returns of a security.
Funding ratio
The funding ratio is a significant unobservable input required to value mortgage commitments issued by the Bank. The funding ratio represents an estimate of percentage of commitments that are ultimately funded by the Bank. The funding ratio is based on a number of factors such as observed historical funding percentages within the various lending channels and the future economic outlook, considering factors including, but not limited to, competitive pricing and fixed/variable mortgage rate gap. An increase/(decrease) in funding ratio will increase/(decrease) the value of the lending commitment in relationship to prevailing interest rates.
Earnings Multiple, Discount Rate, and Liquidity Discount Earnings multiple, discount rate, and liquidity discount are significant inputs used when valuing certain equity securities and certain retained interests. Earnings multiples are selected based on comparable entities and a higher multiple will result in a higher fair value. Discount rates are applied to cash flow forecasts to reflect time value of money and the risks associated with the cash flows. A higher discount rate will result in a lower fair value. Liquidity discounts may be applied as a result of the difference in liquidity between the comparable entity and the equity securities being valued.
Net Asset Value
The fair value of certain private funds are based on the net asset value (NAV) provided by fund managers as there are no observable prices for these instruments.
Currency Specific Swap Curve
The fair value of foreign exchange contracts is determined using inputs such as foreign exchange spot rates and swap curves. Generally swap curves are observable, but there may be certain durations or currency specific foreign exchange spot and currency specific swap curves that are not observable.
Dividend Yield
Dividend yield is a key input for valuing equity contracts and is generally expressed as a percentage of the current price of the stock. Dividend yields can be derived from the repo or forward price of the actual stock being fair valued. Spot dividend yields can also be obtained from pricing sources, if it can be demonstrated that spot yields are a good indication of future dividends.
Inflation Rate Swap Curve
The fair value of inflation rate swap contracts is a swap between the interest rate curve and the inflation Index. The inflation rate swap spread is not observable and is determined using proxy inputs such as inflation index rates and Consumer Price Index (CPI) bond yields. Generally swap curves are observable; however, there may be instances where certain specific swap curves are not observable.
TD BANK GROUP ANNUAL REPORT 2016 FINANCIAL RESULTS 143
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