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Editorial
business
“Nobody knows how long the economic downturn will last, but what
“The bottom have experience are
of the cycle is a
we do know is that no recession lasts forever and that there will be an
better off. Go work for
really good place
upswing. During this intervening time there will be a lot of consolidation
someone else for a few
to start a business,” years, fill in the holes of
says Ron Wuensch,
in larger and smaller companies.”
your education and
a colleague of
Paul Danos, Dean of Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth”
keep working on your
Steppe at UH business plan,” Steppe
Bauer, “because says. “And narrow your
when you start off focus. Energy and
on an up cycle, your assumption is that this level borrowing money, it needs to be paid back over technology-based businesses, for instance, are
of profitability is going to go on forever.” Same the life of the asset you’re buying. Don’t take out two fields that will continue to have needs even
with this one a 12-month loan assuming you’ll be able to as the economy falters.”
During economic downturns, competitors’ borrow at five percent or borrow at all when it Remember that the most successful
failures present an opportunity, and good business comes due.” business people are highly adaptable. “That’s
people can exploit this, often by buying the failed Wuensch adds: “Really get to know your the heart and soul of being an entrepreneur,”
company or hiring top employees left without a customer. Rip out your answering machine, step Wuensch says. “Reading the environment and
job. Smaller businesses can fall back on ruthless up your service and ask what they need. reacting to it is what an entrepreneur does.
business practises, which may be the best way to Understand how your target customer has Figure out your position of strength, make good
see it through. Dean Danos says, “There will be evolved.” In general, Steppe adds, it’s best to solid decisions based on your position of strength
a lot of consolidation going on over the next target high-end or budget buyers: “the middle and the odds really are in your favour.”
time period. I think small businesses should try is gone.” As the old adage goes, the bottom line is
and stick it out, but some amount of the bottom line and looking after that will
consolidation is inevitable.” Risk Taking occupy the next year or two for many small
Weunsch advocates a serious tightening of Entrepreneurs are risk takers, by definition, but businesses. Dean Paul Danos says, “Nobody
the belt: “Cut back on everything, be cruel and now is not the time to be launching new knows how long it is going to last – maybe a
heartless about what you need to be in business. businesses without the deepest conviction and year, eighteen months – but what we do know
Get rid of everything you don’t need. Know most thoroughly researched business plan. With is that after this cycle is over, things are going
exactly why you borrow what you do. With a finance harder to find and higher than the usual to be different. It will be more regulated and
change in economics you have an opportunity to 90% of new businesses going under within the banks are going to be looked at a lot more
really look at your business, and adjust it to the first three years of trading (noting that most of closely so that they aren’t investing so heavily
next economic reality.” these will do so due to cash flow problems), in such risky areas.”
Core to this principle is remembering the you’ll need a watertight plan to convince For SMEs, the near to middle future may
basics of sound business, such as never borrowing financiers to give you money, get your business be the riskiest time of all. It will take brave
money on a short-term loan if you aren’t really started and think about turning a profit. owners and entrepreneurs to stick out the
able to repay it until the long-term. “Forget that So what’s the alternative? “Consider the storm, yet for those who do so successfully, it
you’re a financial genius,” Steppe says. “If you’re intervening months or years as a gift. Those who could be the most profitable of all.
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