Politics Trump Big Winner of
Crowded GOP Field Former president retains formidable grip on 2024 race.
T BY KATHRYN MCKENZIE
he race for the republi- can presidential nomination has created a formidable frontrunner: Donald Trump.
Political experts agree the former
president is the big beneficiary of the packed field of candidates. Trump commands the hard-
core allegiance of around 40% of the Republican vote, according to a range of polls. So, in a winner-take-all pri- mary, his half dozen rivals would split the remaining 60%, giving Trump a plurality and all or most of that state’s delegates. Trump’s main advantage in the pri-
maries is that Republicans have over- whelmingly positive opinions of him (77% favorable and 17% unfavorable). More importantly, 45% of Republi-
can voters say, and another 18% think, he is probably the strongest candidate. A Quinnipiac survey conducted
from May 18 to 22 among 669 Repub- licans showed Trump winning support from 56% of voters. Twenty-five per- cent said they planned to back Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, while every other candidate polled in the single digits. DeSantis, Trump’s main challenger,
is almost as well liked as he is among Republicans (73% favorable and 12% unfavorable), but has been losing ground in the polls. Back in December, 39% of Repub-
licans wanted him to be the nominee, according to a recent Monmouth Univer- sity survey. Now, that’s down to just 19%. “Republican voters still like him, but
they haven’t heard a convincing case for why he would be the party’s best option,” says Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth poll. Of course, there are other GOP candidates. Two South Carolinians — former Gov. Nikki Haley (47% favorable and
16% unfavorable) and Sen. Tim Scott (44% favorable and 8% unfavorable). Anti-“woke” businessman Vivek Ramaswamy (22% favorable and 6% unfavorable).
Biden’s ‘Gene McCarthy’ Could Be RFK Jr. P
BY JOHN FUND
resident joe biden has managed to avoid attract- ing big league primary opponents. But his numbers
remain shockingly low. In a recent Monmouth University poll, only 60% of Democrats support him in the primary, versus 20% for activ- ist Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and 7% for inspirational speaker Marianne Williamson. Both Kennedy and Williamson run strongest among vot-
ers without college degrees. Liberal voters are the happiest with Biden; independents who vote in Democrat primaries are the unhappiest, and Kennedy trails Biden by just 8 points with those voters. Other polls bear out Biden’s weakness among Democrats.
The Economist magazine’s poll found only 48% want him to run again. A Marquette Law School poll found only 43% like the idea.
46 NEWSMAX | JULY 2023
The biggest advantage Biden has is that he is being
propped up by the now-activist mainstream media, which refuses to give Kennedy and Williamson a platform. But Biden may have made a political blunder which could
trip him up. Recall that he has a history of unforced political errors, prompting Barack Obama to once say of his vice pres- ident: “Don’t underestimate Joe’s ability to f--- things up.” For 2024, Biden has forced the Democratic National Committee to declare South Carolina the first state to con- duct a presidential primary in 2024, shoving the traditional first state of New Hampshire aside. “The move was designed to reward South Carolina,
which catapulted Biden to the nomination in 2020,” Polit- ico reports. “Top Democrats are scrambling for ways to avoid a catastrophe in New Hampshire in which Joe Biden may not appear on the primary ballot, ceding the first unofficial con-
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