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NEWS | Industry Updates


UK food-to-go market recovers but challenges lie ahead, forecasts IGD


The UK food-to-go market is predicted to be worth £23.4bn by 2027, 26% more than pre-pandemic levels, according to the new forecast from insight provider IGD. While inflation is set to be the


main driver of growth, operators and retailers have an opportunity to support consumers through the cost of living crisis as they look to save money. This year (2022) the UK food-to-go channel will be worth £18.9bn, 3% more than its pre-Covid value in 2019. The market has performed better than predicted since the pandemic, but this will slow by the end of the year and throughout 2023 as consumers battle rising energy, fuel and food costs. Nicola Knight, senior analyst for


Food-to-Go and author of the forecasts, explains: “Foodservice businesses were the biggest beneficiaries of pent-up demand for food on-the-go last year because of all the innovation they put into working around lockdowns, such as flexible delivery solutions and click and collect offers. But as the cost-of living-crisis comes in


these operators will be under pressure as they become more of a premium option compared with lower priced food-to-go alternatives from a retailer, or preparing food at home.”


Inflation “Inflation is already affecting many consumers but until now food-to-go has continued to perform strongly. This will change as the true impact of rising prices really kicks in in the last quarter and takes hold next year. So, while inflation will boost the overall value of the market, volume will, at best, stay the same in 2023. “The next 18 months will be a


4 | vendinginternational-online.com


challenging period for the sector, mainly for coffee and food-to-go specialists, as operators attempt to balance rising costs with helping consumers to save money. “Quick Service Restaurants (QSRs) that


focus on communicating their value, particularly around deals and family offers, will do well with consumers that are still looking for the occasional treat without breaking the bank.” Challenges and opportunities With the focus back on value for at


least the next 18 months, retailers are in a strong position. The price point, range and execution of meal deals will become fiercely competitive, as they aim to capitalise on the opportunity. “During the pandemic, retailers deprioritised food-to-go space in favour of in-demand categories, leaving them on the competitive back foot as footfall returned and consumers sought a change from homemade meals. However, if they can get their price,


offer and format right, by 2027 retail could more than regain the share lost to foodservice operators during the pandemic to claim 23.7% of the food- to-go market, compared with 22.9% in 2019 and 20% in 2020/21. “Key opportunities for retailers


over the next 18 months will include strengthening their meal deal offers as consumers become more value-led, and utilising customer data to create tailored offers that are relevant and savings- focused. There’s also an opportunity for them to increase food-to-go ranges to meet consumer needs across a wider variety of meal occasions.” The annual Food-to-Go forecast


report from IGD examines in detail the outlook by sector for: QSR, coffee shops, food-to-go specialists, supermarkets/ hypermarkets, and convenience, forecourts & other retailers.


Vending


machine blends at the touch of a screen


Aimia Foods has announced a new range of Shmoo milkshake powders which have specifically been developed for running through cold/chilled vending machines. Karen Green, marketing manager at


Aimia Foods, elaborates: “When mixed through a cold/chilled vending machine, the vending powders share the same creamy texture that blended Shmoo shakes are renowned for, with just the addition of water therefore the vending machine virtually takes care of the entire Shmoo shake making process automatically.” Each flavour


within the range is suitable for customers following a gluten-free or vegetarian diet.


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