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non-trivial, the disturbance to marine EPS would need to be likely to at least increase the risk of a certain negative impact on the species at FCS.


39.


JNCC et al. (2010a) do not provide guidance as to what would constitute a ‘significant group’ or proportion of the population, but provide some discussion on how to assess whether the numbers potentially affected could be of concern for a population’s FCS.


40. JNCC et al. (2010a) state that:


“In any population with a positive rate of growth, or a population remaining stable at what is assumed to be the environmental carrying capacity, a certain number of animals can potentially be removed as a consequence of anthropogenic activities (e.g. through killing, injury or permanent loss of reproductive ability), in addition to natural mortality, without causing the population to decrease in numbers, or preventing recovery, if the population is depleted. Beyond a certain threshold however, there could be a detrimental effect on the population”.


41.


Further discussion on the use of thresholds for significance and the permanent or temporary nature of any disturbance is considered by defining the magnitude of potential effect in this assessment (section 12.6.1). Consideration of any potential essential habitat or geographical structuring of EPS is provided in the Existing Environment section (section 12.5.3) of this chapter.


42.


In order to assess the number of individuals from a species that could be removed from the regional population through injury or disturbance without compromising the FCS in its natural range, the PEIR considers:





   


The numbers affected in relation to the best and most recent estimate of population size; and


The threshold for potential impact on the FCS, which will depend on: The species’ / populations’ life-history;


The species’ FCS assessment in UK waters; and Other pressures encountered by the population (cumulative effects).


43. One of the key parameters for consideration within this assessment is the population size. The EPS Guidance advises that the best available abundance estimates could be used as a baseline population size, taking account of any evidence of regional


Preliminary Environmental Information May 2014


East Anglia THREE Offshore Windfarm


Chapter 12 Marine Mammal Ecology Page 24


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