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www.stnonline.com


DATA, STATISTICS AND TRENDS


Another Banner Year School bus body manufacturers report the largest number of new builds in past decade


W


hile domestic manufacturing jobs, or lack thereof, made political headlines during the recent Presidential election, the school bus industry was firing on all cylinders. Total school bus produc-


tion number climbed for the fifth consecutive year after bottoming out following the Great Recession. Te School Transportation News annual survey of the eight bus-body and six chassis OEMs revealed a total of build of 50,612, with 43,302 of those school buses. Te difference between the two figures was the number of Multifunction School Activity Buses and “White” vehicles that are typically used for commercial or non-school-bus related government entities such as prisons. Te overall, 5-percent uptick in school bus-specific production,


year-over-year, has been the status quo for the past two reported manufacturing cycles of Nov. 1 through Oct. 31. It’s important to note here that STN’s survey covers buses manufactured, not sold. Prior to 2013-2014, the industry needed two consecutive 10- plus percent spikes to get itself out of the economic doldrums that gripped the world in 2008. Te school bus industry historically lags the rest of the U.S. economy by at least a year due to the fact school budgets are set in advance. Te Great Recession served to


lengthen that economic cycle, with the full force of the imploding housing bubble not hitting the industry until the 2010-2011 year, when only 30,304 total school buses were manufactured, down by more than 29 percent from the previous report. At that time, many school districts and, indeed, several states suspended their vehicle replacement cycles or deferred new purchases because school districts lacked the necessary funds from dried-up property tax coffers amid other budget concerns, namely funding the classroom. But the steady climb ever since – a total of about 40 percent


over the past five years – signals that school districts have (mostly) recovered and are replacing aging fleets at an ever-accelerating clip. Tis increased confidence has kept the OEMs busy, with several companies reporting increased new hires and the additions of shifts to keep up with demand. And the appetite for Type C conventional school buses as


well as Type A small school buses has increased dramatically. The conventional segment again represented the largest slice of the production pie, with 29,757 units reported, or nearly 69 percent of all school buses built over the past year. Still, the percentage of Type Cs dipped ever so slightly when com-


School Transportation News Annual School Bus Manufacturing Data


School Year 2015-2016 2014-2015 2013-2014 2012-2013 2011-2012 2010-2011 2009-2010


2008-2009 2007-2008


2006-2007 MFSAB 1,061 (est.) 1,585 (est.) 2,500 (est.) 1,500 (est.) 3,000 (est.) 1,500 (est.) 1,160 (est.) 3,000 (est.)


3,000 (est.) 3,000 (est.)


4,000 Van. Conv. AAV Type A-1 2,978 2,084 2,303 3,924 5,406 5,499 4,111 3,712


2,070 1,699


Type A-2 6,424 6,132 6,017 3,921 1,912 1,912 4,699 4,587


3,294 4,614


Total


Type A 9,402


8,216 8,320 7,845 7,378 7,411 8,810 8,299


5,364 6,313


140 140 240 400 250


250 692


Type B Type C 29,757


28,640 27,071


25,230 21,563 18,713 25,791 23,737


26,253 26,153


Type D 4,143 4,344 3,662 4,098 3,953 3,940 5,669 4,689 6,676 6,265 Totals* 43,302 41,200 39,053 37,173 33,034 30,304 40,670 36,975 38,543 39,423


*Total count does not include MFSAB, AAV or “white” buses typically used for commercial applications. Source: SCHOOL TRANSPORTATION NEWS


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