WHAT THE INDUSTRY SAYS


“The industry and British holidaymakers strongly benefit from the European market. But we’ve done a full risk analysis and there is nothing insurmountable [if Britain votes to leave].” Nick Longman, managing director, Tui UK


Abta: Leave could increase costs and impact regulations


A victory for Leave would mean increased costs for travel businesses, higher prices for travellers and uncertainty for all, according to a report by Abta in March.


What Brexit Might Mean for UK


Travel, produced with consultancy Deloitte, concluded the impact could be “significant”. Chief executive Mark Tanzer


said: “A vote to leave will lead to uncertainties and may lead to increased costs. The potential risks and downsides are not matched by an equal upside.” The report identified “the


impact of prolonged uncertainty on the pound” and suggested Brexit “could have a significant impact” on regulations including financial protection for packages, compensation for flight delays, access to healthcare through the European Health Insurance Card and open skies for airlines. Tanzer said: “The travel industry


has benefited hugely from free movement of people. We need access to a wider labour pool. The fewer constraints there are, the


easier it is to keep costs down.” Deloitte partner Graham Pickett


said: “If we’re at the table, we have influence. If we’re not, we don’t. Half our trade is with the EU [and] there are 500 million consumers in the single market.” Neil Baylis, partner at law firm K&L Gates, told an Abta travel law


“The potential risks and downsides [of leaving] are not matched by an equal upside”


seminar in May that a Leave vote should have little impact on travel regulations. Baylis said “There would be no immediate regulatory change. Key legislation would apply. Ten years is a reasonable estimate of how long it would take the UK to negotiate an exit. I don’t see any changes to travel law.” However, Baylis noted: “There


are benefits from the EU for the industry, such as visa-free travel. It’s hard to imagine the restaurant and hotel trades managing if a Leave vote were to shut off immigration


from the rest of Europe.” › abta.com/eureferendum


“[Brexit] would be extremely damaging to UK aviation and the industry. Aspects of life in the EU are taken for granted. Once we lose them we’ll realise what value they held.” Andrew Swaffield, chief executive, Monarch Group


“82% of UKinbound members said remaining in the EU was important for their business.” Deirdre Wells, chief executive, UKinbound


“Our job is to ensure we’re prepared whatever the outcome.” Peter Fankhauser, chief executive, Thomas Cook


“A common market is not as important to our industry as to many others.” Carsten Spohr, chief executive, Lufthansa


“It would be disastrous for those who work in the industry if the UK left.” Doreen McKenzie, owner, Knock Travel


Holidaymakers more likely to vote to stay in the EU, poll finds


People taking an overseas holiday this year were more likely to vote Remain than those unlikely to travel, according to research for Travel Weekly. A survey of 1,200 UK adults by research firm TNS in March found holidaymakers opposed to Brexit sharply outnumbered those in favour – 43% of those planning an overseas holiday this year favoured staying and 52% of those planning more than one holiday, against 33% for leaving. By


contrast, among adults unlikely to take a holiday overseas, Brexit supporters outnumbered those who favoured staying by 47% to 20%. Overall voting intentions were tied at 37% for


Leave and Remain, with 20% undecided and 6% ‘indifferent’. The survey suggested a strong bias towards EU membership among the young, but Brexit supporters outnumbered those against in all age groups of 35 and above.


16 June 2016 travelweekly.co.uk 13


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