IFX 15-liter engine, which uses the blend, seems to have promise for the long term, he said, as does Cummins’ planned 12-liter engine. “This engine is not going to be on the


market until the end of 2013, so natural gas is going to be a five-year project, at least,” he said. “But the biggest problem we have to date is the cost of the equipment. It’s chicken-and-egg until we start buying in volume, and they can’t get their cost down until they have mass production.” Once that critical mass is reached,


though, Moyes predicts it could cut fuel costs in half, even considering there’s a 20 percent drop in efficiency. “The predicate is natural gas has to


remain cheap,” said Berry. Looking forward to the next 25 years,


Moyes sees an industry that has broadened in ways unimaginable when he started out with one truck in 1966. But at the same time, it has also contracted in terms of the number of trucking companies and independent truckers out there. “If you go back, of your top major


truckload carriers, Knight was the last one started in 1990,” said Moyes. “This has been an extremely difficult business to get into. From ’80 to ’90, it was a free-for-all, and the last 20 years have really been ‘the strong survive.’ You went through an era of a tremendous amount of consolidation in the early 2000s, but it kind of died off with the recession. I think you’re going to go through another huge period of consolidations—the big companies just have more advantages over the smaller companies.” And that doesn’t bode well for the


young up-and-comer who’s out in the driveway today, blowing the horn on his dad’s truck. “I think it’s impossible to enter


this industry today,” Moyes said of the environment that has developed in the post- regulation era. “But we have 4,000 owner-operators


that all have the potential to be the next Jerry,” Berry quickly adds. “It’s going to take courage and smarts, intelligence and street smarts. But it was hard then. It won’t be easy now, but there will be another Jerry out there, no doubt.” Berry pauses, then qualifies his


prediction: “Well, not another Jerry. Another almost Jerry.”


Arizona Trucking Association 2012 Yearbook


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