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Natural Gas & The Low-Carbon Economy Figure 5: Annual Oil & Gas Production (Lower US 48 States)


Source: DOE, EIA


As the disparity in these numbers illustrates, reforming power generation will necessitate a systemic approach to the entire power sector. Besides being more efficient and cleaner than their coal counterparts, combined-cycle power plants are also cheaper and quicker to build. A survey of actual fossil, nuclear, and renewable power projects in 2008 determined that natural gas combined-cycle plants had the lowest construction costs of any available generating technology, under half the cost of a new pulverized coal plant and just one-fifth the estimated cost of a new nuclear plant. Under most assumptions for construction costs, government incentives, and carbon controls, combined- cycle plants are an extremely competitive source of electricity. However, the cost of gas-fired power is extremely sensitive to the price of gas, which has been highly volatile in recent years. At the average price of gas in 2009, the levelised cost was 5.5 cents per kilowatt-hour, compared with 8.6 cents per kilowatt-hour based on average 2008 gas prices. The recent decline in gas


growing amount of wind and solar power. Unlike coal plants, gas plants can be more easily turned on and off, enabling utilities to use them to balance variable generation from renewable energy sources. For this reason, nine solar thermal power plants built in California during the 1980s and early 1990s were designed as gas-solar hybrids, with auxiliary natural gas boilers or heat transfer fluid heaters to provide backup generation. Existing combined-cycle and peaking plants already provide de facto backup electricity for wind power in some parts


... natural gas generators are better


suited to play a complementary role in a generation mix that includes a growing amount of wind and solar power


prices has already led utilities to increase the utilization of their gas plants, raising the gas share of generation in 2009 to 23%, higher than at any time in the past three decades. The resulting drop in coal-fired power generation was responsible for almost half of the nearly 10% decline in US CO2 emissions from energy consumption between 2007 and 2009. And some utilities are deciding to make these changes permanent. Faced with the steep cost of installing pollution controls on its coal plants, North Carolina-based Progress Energy announced plans to permanently close 11 of its dirtiest coal plants over the next eight years, a total of almost 1,500 megawatts (MW), replacing them primarily with natural gas plants. In addition to the emissions savings they represent over


coal plants, natural gas generators are better suited to play a complementary role in a generation mix that includes a


worldPower 2010


of the country. In some cases, utilities may also be able to retrofit existing conventional power plants with renewable generators to reduce fossil fuel consumption and GHG emissions. The Florida Power and Light (FPL) Company is adding a 75-megawatt solar thermal field to a much larger natural gas plant in Indiantown, Florida. However, the potential of such large-scale retrofits will be limited by the land and resource requirements of renewable generating technologies. In the future, a new generation of gas-fired generators – from gas turbines to fuel cells – can be deployed as a complement to wind and solar power, both in dedicated gas-renewable hybrid systems and as independent components of a renewable-rich energy portfolio. Natural gas also lends itself to applications that increase overall energy efficiency. Like all thermal power plants, natural gas plants create heat as a by-product while generating electricity. While most plants discard this heat as waste, they can instead be designed to capture it for use in space heating, a process called


cogeneration or combined heat-and-power (CHP). Because it can be scaled more easily than coal, natural gas is the most common fuel used in combined heat-and-power applications, which are typically industrial scale or smaller. Cogeneration has enjoyed little policy support in the US, and as a result it provides just 8% of the country’s electricity. However, the figure is much higher in other countries where cogeneration has received more support: 39% in Finland and 52% in Denmark. A new generation of smaller, ‘distributed’ gas-fired generators


that harness waste heat for heating and cooling can provide better environmental performance than even the most efficient central-station plants while adding an economical and flexible element to the power grid. Technologies ranging from reciprocating engines (similar to those used in automobiles) to gas turbines and fuel cells can


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